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Posts by "montmorency"

678 Posts Total by "montmorency":
604 Posts by member
montmorency
(Abingdon, United Kingdom)
74 Posts by Anonymous "montmorency":
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
13 years ago
Feb 2, 2011 14:47
It seems to me that because trading volume* in EUR/USD and GBP/USD is so much higher than that in EUR/GBP, the price of the latter pair is highly dependent on what happens in the former two pairs. It's a bit like a straw blowing in a gusting wind - fairly hard to predict, unless there are strong fundamentals that only affect EUR vs GBP strength and not the relationship of the other two pairs.

This is why I no longer, or almost never, trade EUR/GBP.

I suppose that purely technical short-term moves may be an exception to this.


*[These numbers are in the annual reports for the International Bank of Settlements]
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
13 years ago
Feb 2, 2011 14:20
In Thread: USD
@DaveO: I'm probably being dense or missed an earlier thread, but what are E/W traders?

Fundamental Opinions getting in the way of Price Action: Yes, been there, done that, and it's sometimes not a pretty sight. Much more wary these days.

@Chloe: [February 1, 2011 17:33 GMT]: Yes, Ashraf can be a little cryptic sometimes. You have to try to fill in the gaps / read between the lines with your own knowledge, experience and research.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
13 years ago
Jan 31, 2011 1:50
In Thread: EUR
@DaveO: Many thanks. Actually I had just googled and found Accustrength (I already knew the name of Tom Yeomans). It's clearly a superior tool (and uses interbank data) to the one I have, which s indeed the one you mention. Yes, probably Tom Yeoman's "Mark I" model!

Thanks for the link.

Cheers,
M.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
13 years ago
Jan 28, 2011 23:42
In Thread: EUR
On: January 27, 2011 00:28 GMT, Said said:
"eh montmorecy
what indigo meter?"

@Said:
I don't know why you say "indigo meter".
Catnip has referred to a strength meter several times, a currency strength meter obviously. I know there are several around, some free, some chargeable.

Anyway, I have now done some reading around the subject, and I see that it is used in a slightly more subtle way than I had imagined, and of course, in conjunction with other information.

Catnip didn't reply (or I didn't see his reply). Maybe he didn't see my question, or perhaps prefers not to talk about it. Fair enough.

I am glad I have missed the Fundamentals vs. Technicals arguments. I won't be joining them.
I would add though, that there is another factor, namely "Sentiment", which might be regarded as part of Fundamentals, not that it really matters what you call it, but it is important in trading I think. Ashraf is talking about this all the time, although he may not necessarily call it by that name every time.

I hope everyone had a good week, and has a good one next week.

montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
13 years ago
Jan 26, 2011 23:12
In Thread: EUR
@Catnip: Which strength meter do you use, if you don't mind my asking?


I know of one free one (for MT4, not sure if there are versions for other S/W), but I am somewhat sceptical of the whole premise, to be honest.


I know that the principle is to buy strength and sell weakness, but this also seems to depend on the principle that the future will behave pretty much like the past. I suppose if you also add in fundamental reasons, it's ok, but I still have my doubts.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
13 years ago
Jan 24, 2011 22:36
In Thread: USD
Been on a break from trading & forums for a few months. Good to see Ashraf still here, better than ever.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jul 26, 2010 22:43
In Thread: EUR
Well, I bailed at 1.2997, but only because I am going to be away for a bit with no reliable or secure internet and I wanted to leave flat. Will be interesting to see how high it goes above 1.3. I guess it's going to need some more news or data to actually trigger this.

Good luck to all.

montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jul 26, 2010 10:12
In Thread: EUR
It's been a bit choppy and uncertain.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jul 26, 2010 0:13
In Thread: EUR
@Lifaylon: Thanks for the clarification.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jul 25, 2010 19:50
In Thread: EUR
@Lifaylon: That's not what you said @ July 25, 2010 10:21 GMT!

Hallelujah. Another comedy turn.