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Posts by "montmorency"

678 Posts Total by "montmorency":
604 Posts by member
montmorency
(Abingdon, United Kingdom)
74 Posts by Anonymous "montmorency":
montmorency
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 23, 2010 9:10
In Thread: CHF
Hi Ashraf: You called (Tweet I think) or warned us (probably more than once) to look out for further SNB intervention. Looks like they did this morning! :-)
montmorency
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 19, 2010 9:52
It seems like after the initial plunge everything went quiet. I expected more action in the Asian session. (Where is the PPT when you need them? :-))) ). Almost as if the market is punch-drunk and confused.

I left an order in for 1109.5 which finally got triggered this morning, ...but it went up to about 1112, so Chloe got in better than me, unless she killed her order.

But as Pipped says, there was probably an overreaction and there will be a rally back. When the world and his wife are buying, it's probably time to sell.

montmorency
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 18, 2010 22:49
Love this comment under that article:

"though of course we had no specific sense of timing on the discount rate hike."

There are tens of thousands of comedians out of work, Jan. Please stop stealing their best lines.
montmorency
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 17, 2010 22:07
Yes, I have given up on USD/JPY, at least for the time being. Similarly EUR/GBP. Still, the markets may, and probably will change, and they will become tradeable again. Just made me some pips shorting Gold. phew, thought the thing was never going to fall. A few less on cable, EUR/USD and EUR/JPY. EUR/JPY didn't fall quite as I'd hoped after placing shorts yesterday, but some came home eventually. I can wait for the others.
montmorency
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 17, 2010 14:46
GBP/USD: Again on the 1H chart, the 365 EMA appeared to act as a resistance (at 13:00 - 1.5804). However, the next and current bar is rather bullish (inverted hammer/pin). Maybe this pair "wants" to punch through that "resistance". That may or not play out, but if it does, for the moment, I'd still see that as a short term thing. Your mileage may vary.

montmorency
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 17, 2010 9:38
@Pipped: Yes, go easy on Xaron. He's an interesting trader. See his various logs on Forex Factory, and I think elsewhere. He is not a representative of the PPT or something .... :) (At least I assume he's not :-).

@Xaron: Gruesse
montmorency
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 16, 2010 21:45
@NZVik: I like that article you posted. Chimes in with a lot of the conclusions I have gradually come to about the markets.
montmorency
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 20:57
@Chloe: to me, USD/CAD seems a difficult one to trade, and I've hardly ever made much money on it.
Conversely, I've made a bunch recently on cable and EUR/USD (Goldmann-Sachs notwithstanding...), and a bit on EUR/JPY (selling into the rallies, not buying them, although both were possible with good timing; my timing isn't all that, so I stick to the simple rule (for the time being) off selling Euro/almost-anything.

Then again, I can't seem to make any money out of EUR/GBP, which seems odd, as a Brit who also knows Europe quite well. Maybe I'm just too close to it. Was wondering whether you are "too close" to USD/CAD to see it sufficiently objectively? Just a thought.

(Also, in my case, USD/CAD has a much bigger spread than either cable or EUR/USD (which is the smallest, with my S.B. broker :-) I know one shouldn't let the tail wag the dog, but it is sometimes a consideration).


montmorency
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 5, 2010 13:06
So, you should know a lot about markets then Asda, er, sorry, Asad! :-)))

I tend to agree with you on tech vs fund (not that reading fundamentals is necessarily easy....). I think it's fundamentals that move markets - just not necessarily in the way people expect.

Technicals working in a bullish market: I had not heard that, but I have heard the expression "There is no such thing as a support in a bear market. Having said that, in FX, one side's falling is another side's rising - not like with stocks or commodities, so it is not so clear.
montmorency
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 4, 2010 16:01
@Lilgeo: That would be the $64,000 question as far as I am concerned.

Do we go long from here, or short down to 1040.....?

Waiting for the word from the man...

Either way we can expect some recovery from today, but then what ...