This thread was started in response to the Article:

Here Comes the 2-Month Cycle by: Ashraf Laidi
Posted: March 13, 2009 ET
Comments: 41
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Simon, never discount or ignore new ideas. I heard about those astro-signals. Gann analysis use something similar to determine TIMING. I will check it out and remember to stay cautious on NFP day. Thanks

Ashraf

actually i don't care, (jeese i am unprofessional).

yeah.... and please never mention the moon on tv please. I would like that not to be common knowledge.

Thanks

Simon

Just a thought

You ever thing about full moon dates?

John Percival wrote something on that.

I my experience there is something there

7th May 2009 - full moon = most recent S&P top. (map them on the charts you will see)

http://www.die.net/moon/

Next Sunday 7th June (ECB / NFP)

Simon

Sean , the 2 month cycle remains applicable for US and european indices as we have NOT yet seen the highs of May 8th. Asian is a different story, (including Nikkei) which is consistent with the THEME that Asian will recover before Americas and Europe/UK.

Ashraf

Hi Ashraf

It's me again. Just wondering what is your take on the 2-month cycle. Frankly, the market is really discounting all bad news and still rising when news are "not as bad" ...especialli in AP and Singapore market, it seems that many institional funds are coming in, pushing stock prices higher. Even many penny stock prices have increased 30-50%

best rgds
Sean

Ashley, you may be rigtht, this time it could take more than 8 weeks. maybe 10 or 12. As for the magnitude, i thik this so-called breather has happenned too far to fast. 30% rally in 7 weeks with hardly any reversal is a little to rapid for a US and world economy clearly in recession.

Ashraf

I was checking you 2 month cycle charts. The graph is interesting. But what makes you think, that the previous pattern will repeat itself. The markets seem to complete a textbook 5 wave cycle down in March. Dont you think the markets would take a breather after a 50% move down.

cheers,

Ashley

jjstone

some wise words there about markets and solvency. maybe i should raise that as the question of the next poll (will S&P hit 200-day MA) I have an interesting trend line on the S&P500 to show tomorrow.

glad people are using the forum. any suggestions are welcome !

Ashraf

Please note 912 on the S&P is the 200ema and the 38.20% from the September peak.