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Speculators' Futures FX Positions by: Ashraf Laidi
Posted: August 20, 2008 ET
Comments: 525
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CAD Net longs vs $USDX lowest since July 2009 http://bit.ly/7iD923 canada CFTC commitment reports

Ashraf

When a newbie begins to experience in their trade problems his first reaction is the idea that success in the market he must learn to predict price movements. With a minimal effort you finds that long-term predictions using fundamental analysis and for short-term - technical. If newbie explores the history of prices of the market where he works he finds appearing repeating patterns. For a long time, markets go up and down the long cyclical waves. If you looks closely you could find on the chart some short-term figures that are repeated again and again. Once you opens the world of mathematical indicators you finds that certain combinations of indicators and the figures tend to be repeated - often around the main peaks and troughs. But there are useful tools, where you can get the first important lessons. For example this site www.freerobot2010.com.

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=6E&p=d1

Another point to note on Euro COT Chart seen buyers heading back.

Why You Should Worry About Both Deflation And Inflation

June 20, 2010

Inflation or deflation?

For the last year and a half my assessment has been that the near-term pressures on the U.S. economy were deflationary, while long-term fundamentals involve significant inflation risks. It's time for a look at the data that have come in over the last 6 months, and time to say that I still see things exactly the same way.

The short-run deflationary forces come from the substantial underemployment of potentially productive labor and capital. I noted in January that, given the high unemployment rate at the time, a traditional Phillips Curve would predict deflation in the CPI over 2010-2011. Six months into the year, that's about how things have unfolded so far. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Thursday that the seasonally adjusted consumer price index for May was at exactly the same value it had been in December.

Read more of this........... http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2010/06/inflation_or_de.html

This is exactly the kind of forum we needed. I trade mainly futures and for a while was wondering it be nice to shed a little of futures perspective here. So good on ya Ashraf where are you, are you still recovering from the noisy Venezuela's. I saw some people on the airport playing that thing, its pretty loud

Friends,

Forex signal is very important in trading forex. But good signal is not easy to get. And mostly are paid. ForexTradingEVO .com is offering daily free signal. The main pairs are EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD, USD/CHF, Gold, and Silver. You can enjoy free signal daily till 7 GMT. I hope you guys will love to use this service free of cost.

I am new to this. I have your book, which I read most of awhile ago, so dusting it off and trying to get more informed.

These correlations are remarkable. Any sense of the causality? The speculators/traders understand the trends ahead of the market or the net position they take is enough to drive the market?

http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/Reports/ea3b5df2-efb4-4485-9ee3-d5972e39bdbc/6ffd4e40-930e-4741-b89b-a4768273b60c.pdf

from my analysis of the chart it appears that cable speculators (non commercial) are at record net shorts since 04. The chart also shows that speculators anticipate moves in advance where large moves are due. So it will be quite interesting to see how thigs pan out. Lots of anaysts are expecting a short sqeeze here and a move higher in cable but they forget about fundamentals in UK being unfavourable at present. Both political and economically. I am more in favour of the speculators anticipating a huge drop i cable.

Peggy, i redid the colours for JPY chart to make it less confusing. And yes, the GRAY graph is ABOVE zero which means there are NET LONGS in JPY (net shorts in USD) of 1,717 contracts (BARELY POSITIVE). Note how these NET JPY LONGS have fallen from as much as 29K contracts.

Euro, the RED GRAPH is LABELLED AS "CAD NET LONGS" with the ARROW POINTING TO THE LEFT, WHICH MEANS YOU HAVE TO SEE AT THE LEFT HAND SCALE I.E. OVER 28,421 contracts. people are net long CAD vs USD by 28421 contracts (see left hand scale of the char).

Ashraf

chart USDCAD does it mean usd up to 1.4