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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30745
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Discuss EUR in this thread
Central, Egypt
Posts: 0
1 year ago
Nov 8, 2020 7:06
Understanding Fundamentals
In business and economics, fundamentals represent the primary characteristics and financial data necessary to determine the stability and health of an asset. This data can include macroeconomic, or large-scale factors, and microeconomic, or small-scale factors to set a value on securities or businesses.
Analysts and investors examine these fundamentals to develop an estimate as to whether the underlying asset is considered a worthwhile investment, and if there is fair valuation in the market. For businesses, information such as profitability, revenue, assets, liabilities, and growth potential are considered fundamentals. Through the use of fundamental analysis, you may calculate a company's financial ratios to determine the feasibility of the investment.
While fundamentals are most often considered factors that relate to particular businesses or securities, national economies, and their currencies also have a set of fundamentals that can be analyzed. For example, interest rates, gross domestic product (GDP) growth, trade balance surplus/deficits, and inflation levels are some factors that are considered to be fundamentals of a nation's value.
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Macroeconomic and Microeconomic Fundamentals
Macroeconomic fundamentals are topics that affect an economy at-large, including statistics regarding unemployment, supply and demand, growth, and inflation, as well as considerations for monetary or fiscal policy and international trade. These categories can be applied to the analysis of a large-scale economy as a whole or can be related to individual business activity to make changes based on macroeconomic influences. Large scale, macroeconomic fundamentals are also part of the top-down analysis of individual companies.
Microeconomic fundamentals focus on the activities within smaller segments of the economy, such as a particular market or sector. This small-scale focus can include issues of supply and demand within the specified segment, labor, and both consumer and firm theories. Consumer theory investigates how people spend within their particular budget restraints. The theory of the firm states that a business exists and makes decisions to earn profits.
Fundamentals in Business
By looking at the economics of a business, including the overall management and the financial statements, investors are looking at a company's fundamentals. Not only do these data points show the health of the business, but they also indicate the probability of further growth. A company with little debt and sufficient cash is considered to have strong fundamentals.
Strong fundamentals suggest that a business has a viable framework or financial structure. Conversely, those with weak fundamentals may have issues in the areas of debt obligation management, cost control, or overall organizational management. A business with strong fundamentals may be more likely to survive adverse events, like economic recessions or depressions, than one with weaker fundamentals. Also, strength may indicate less risk should an investor consider purchasing securities associated with the businesses mentioned.
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Fundamental Analysis
Investors and financial analysts are interested in evaluating the fundamentals of a company to compare its economic position relative to its industry peers, to the broader market, or to itself over time. Fundamental analysis involves digging deep into a company's financial statements to extract its profit and growth potential, relative riskiness, and to ultimately decide if its shares are over, under, or fairly valued in the market.
Often fundamental analysis involves computing and analyzing ratios to make apples-to-apples comparisons. Some common fundamental analysis ratios are listed below.
The debt-to-equity ratio (DE) measures how a company is financing its operations.
The quick ratio measures the company’s ability to meet its short-term obligations.
The degree of financial leverage (DFL) measures the stability or volatility of the earnings per share (EPS).
The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio compares investment to earnings dollars.
The DuPont analysis looks at return on equity (ROE) by looking at asset use efficiency, operating efficiency, and financial leverage.
Fundamental analysis should be carried out with a holistic approach, utilizing several ratios and including a bottom-up as well as a top-down analysis to come to specific conclusions and actions.
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Real World Example
In the fourth quarter of 2018, according to Market Watch, large-cap tech companies Microsoft and Apple had similar market caps for the first time since 2010. Although the two companies had similar market caps of about $850 billion, they had very different fundamentals. For example, Microsoft was trading at 45X earnings while Apple was trading at 15X earnings.1

Madison, United States
Posts: 0
1 year ago
Oct 16, 2020 12:48
The euro could strengthen throughout 2021 thanks to an economic recovery in Europe, lower political risks, and no significant policy change from the ECB. I trade professionally at forex. - more about my broker and forex situation.
Paris, France
Posts: 0
2 years ago
Apr 29, 2020 16:49
In reply to Ashraf Laidi's post
+ dollar to gain strength when ISM keeps dropping
+ dollar denominated debt increasing dollar demand
+ important for euro to drop in value to loosen financial and credit conditions domestically
+ dollar = safe haven
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
2 years ago
Apr 28, 2020 19:03
In reply to Pctrader1979's post

How about 20%. What's your basis

Paris, France
Posts: 0
2 years ago
Apr 27, 2020 14:20
What is the probability Euro-Dollar reaches parity in 2020? 75%?
Texus, United States
Posts: 0
2 years ago
Jan 21, 2020 12:38
EUR/USD retakes 1.1100 and beyond on upbeat ZEW

EUR/USD quickly movements above the 1.1100 marks.
German Economic Sentiment improves to 26.7 in January.
Attention now shifts to Trump’s speech in Davos.

A surprising boost of purchasing interest-driven EUR/USD returned above the key 1.1100 marks on Tuesday soon after the discharge of better-than-estimated ZEW Survey figures.

EUR/USD stays near 1.1100, attention on Trump

The pair has regained greater oxygen and advanced – albeit briefly – to the location above 1.1100 the determine after the ZEW Survey confirmed the Economic Sentiment rebounded to 26.7 and 25.6 in Germany and the euro area, respectively, for the current month.

Moving forward, buyers are now targeted on the imminent speech with the aid of President Trump at the WEF in Davos, amidst growing concerns regarding the outbreak of the Wuhan coronavirus in China.

What to look for around EUR

The pair dropped to sparkling every year lows and lingers over the important thing 55-day SMA to date this week and always trying to USD-dynamics. Furthermore, the recent charge action suggests that the 1.1180 regions may be a meantime top. In the meantime, markets’ awareness is now seen moving to a more data-structured stance whilst the US-China change front remains muted for the time being. On the greater macro view, the slowdown within the location stays aways from abated and keeps to justify the ‘looser for longer’ monetary stance from the ECB, which is anticipated to keep the current ‘wait-and-see’ stance, at least within the near-term, as in step with the recently published minutes (Accounts) from the December meeting.

EUR/USD degrees to watch

At the moment, the pair is gaining 0.05% at 1.1100 and faces the subsequent up barrier at 1.1134 (200-day SMA) followed by 1.1172 (weekly excessive Jan.16) and eventually 1.1186 (61.8% of the 2017-2018 rally). On the downside, a breakdown of 1.1076 (weekly/2020 low Jan.20) would goal 1.1066 (100-day SMA) en direction to 1.1039 (low Dec.6 2019).

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Central, Egypt
Posts: 0
3 years ago
Feb 22, 2019 9:34
Moving averages Conclusions and forex trading signals

Moving averages Conclusions and forex trading signals
The advantages of using moving averages need to be weighed against the disadvantages. Moving averages are trend following, or lagging, indicators that will always be a step behind. This is not necessarily a bad thing though. After all, the trend is your friend and it is best to trade in the direction of the trend. Moving averages ensure that a trader is in line with the current trend. Even though the trend is your friend, securities spend a great deal of time in trading ranges, which render moving averages ineffective. Once in a trend, moving averages will keep you in, but also give late forex trading signals . Don't expect to sell at the top and buy at the bottom using moving averages forex trading signals . As with most technical analysis tools, moving averages should not be used on their own, but in conjunction with other complementary tools. Chartists can use moving averages to define the overall trend and then use RSI to define overbought or oversold levels.
gold trading signals daily and gold technical analysis and trading wave on, Egypt
Posts: 0
3 years ago
Feb 9, 2019 0:09
gold trading signals

Gold trading signals , Elliott Wave Patterns and Sells from 1325
The price of gold continued to rise during the past weeks and reached 1326
The price of gold during this rally formed the fifth wave or the basic pattern of the Elliott waves
The third wave within this model is extended and the fifth wave is equal to the length of the first wave
Which gives an opportunity to sell gold today so we offer gold trading signals for the sale of gold free
It is preferable to sell gold from the level of 1325 targeting the 1311 level of profit and the level of 1332 to stop loss
Gold Analysis and Gold Price Outlook and free gold trading signals today
The end of the basic Elliott wave pattern is an opportunity to sell and the emergence of the Bearish Bearish candlestick is an entry point for selling
The current bullish wave, which started from 1160 to 1326, is equal to a previous bullish wave and according to the theory of equal waves
We are expected to see a bearish wave of gold

Central, Egypt
Posts: 0
3 years ago
Feb 3, 2019 23:28

Bollinger Bands guidelines

forex signals : W-Bottoms
W-Bottoms were part of Arthur Merrill's work that identified 16 patterns with a basic W shape. Bollinger uses these various W patterns with Bollinger Bands to identify W-Bottoms. A “W-Bottom” forms in a downtrend and involves two reaction lows. In particular, Bollinger looks for W-Bottoms where the second low is lower than the first but holds above the lower band. There are four steps to confirm a W-Bottom with Bollinger Bands. First, a reaction low forms. This low is usually, but not always, below the lower band. Second, there is a bounce towards the middle band. Third, there is a new price low in the security. This low holds above the lower band. The ability to hold above the lower band on the test shows less weakness on the last decline. Fourth, the pattern is confirmed with a strong move off the second low and a resistance break.

forex signals : M-Tops
M-Tops were also part of Arthur Merrill's work that identified 16 patterns with a basic M shape. Bollinger uses these various M patterns with Bollinger Bands to identify M-Tops. According to Bollinger, tops are usually more complicated and drawn out than bottoms. Double tops, head-and-shoulders patterns, and diamonds represent evolving tops.
In its most basic form, an M-Top is similar to a double top. However, the reaction highs are not always equal. The first high can be higher or lower than the second high. Bollinger suggests looking for signs of non-confirmation when a security is making new highs. This is basically the opposite of the W-Bottom. A non-confirmation occurs with three steps. First, a security creates a reaction high above the upper band. Second, there is a pullback towards the middle band. Third, prices move above the prior high but fail to reach the upper band. This is a warning sign. The inability of the second reaction high to reach the upper band shows waning momentum, which can foreshadow a trend reversal. Final confirmation comes with a support break or bearish indicator forex trading signals .

forex signals : Walking the Bands
Moves above or below the bands are not signals per se. As Bollinger puts it, moves that touch or exceed the bands are not forex trading signals , but rather “tags”. On the face of it, a move to the upper band shows strength, while a sharp move to the lower band shows weakness. Momentum oscillators work much the same way. Overbought is not necessarily bullish. It takes strength to reach overbought levels and overbought conditions can extend in a strong uptrend. Similarly, prices can “walk the band” with numerous touches during a strong uptrend. Think about it for a moment. The upper band is 2 standard deviations above the 20-period simple moving average. It takes a pretty strong price move to exceed this upper band. An upper band touch that occurs after a Bollinger Band confirmed W-Bottom would signal the start of an uptrend. Just as a strong uptrend produces numerous upper band tags, it is also common for prices to never reach the lower band during an uptrend. The 20-day SMA sometimes acts as support. In fact, dips below the 20-day SMA sometimes provide buying opportunities before the next tag of the upper band.
Bollinger Bands reflect direction with the 20-period SMA and volatility with the upper/lower bands. As such, they can be used to determine if prices are relatively high or low. According to Bollinger, the bands should contain 88-89% of price action, which makes a move outside the bands significant. Technically, prices are relatively high when above the upper band and relatively low when below the lower band. However, relatively high should not be regarded as bearish or as a sell forex signals . Likewise, relatively low should not be considered bullish or as a buy signal. Prices are high or low for a reason. As with other indicators, Bollinger Bands are not meant to be used as a stand-alone tool. Chartists should combine Bollinger Bands with basic trend analysis and other indicators for confirmation.

valencia, Spain
Posts: 0
3 years ago
Jan 31, 2019 11:49
Eurusd I think next level is 1.1550 and later 1.1600. Now I have small buy.