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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3054
Forum Topic:

GBP

Discuss GBP
 
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
May 11, 2011 22:05
OK thanks, I missed just about all your commentary today with too many balls in the air. I am now starting on tweets 20hrs back :) Please slow down :-)

I see the stoch flattening on daily and the divergence on weekly and the potential H&S. Same on my charts.

It has been an eye opener to me the way currencies are paranoid about rates since joining your service about the same time as focusing more on currencies early 2010. I have a problem with the uk fundamentals in this respect as I often think the mkt is not really listening (interpreting) closely. My problem does not effect my trading however as price action always rules. I have found you to be a very great help in my quest to relate price action to fundamentals.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
May 11, 2011 21:24
Dave,

There were TWO GBPUSD charts in todays analysis:

The daily rise in cable stochastics is flattening which means the right shoulder becoming a key resists and is inline with the BEARISH DIVERGENCE in WEEKLY STOCHASTIC in todays piece
http://www.ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/access/?a=423

Ashraf
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
May 11, 2011 21:06
You were unlucky with the move hitting your stop Ashraf because your thinking for a move down was right.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
May 11, 2011 19:43
Yes, cable did break above my stop of 1.6430 but there is a REASON why I remained skeptical in today's premium piece despite 1.65... here is the argument plus analysis on Silver & EURUSD
http://tinyurl.com/69mts4o


Ashraf
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
May 11, 2011 15:30
He emphasised two or three times that after a financial crisis of such magnitude the BOE expect growth to be extremely slow for a protracted period of time. ie. this is not like yer normal recession. Of course rates cannot remain so low indefinitely but his timeframe for that is years rather than months.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
May 11, 2011 15:22
sorry I meant mkt stupid. King has my complete confidence. I have no trouble understanding what he says in the context he intends.
Machiavelli
Posts: 113
13 years ago
May 11, 2011 15:12
Yes, but he is generally right in his remarks.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
May 11, 2011 15:12
Yes mach, exactly. Unbelievably stupid, or naive ? or ignorant ? lol.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
May 11, 2011 15:10
And King answering Stephanie Flanders Q about eur position downside risks to uk, refused to comment and "risk making the job of his european colleagues even more difficult". Those very words tell us that King regards eu as major problem.
Machiavelli
Posts: 113
13 years ago
May 11, 2011 15:08
I agree. It was funny to watch King say that 'it is unthinkable that rates will stay so low indefinitely' and what the market heard was 'we will raise rates by the end of the year'. Then he repeated 'rates will get back to more normal levels' and cable popped 15 pips. Too funny. :)