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Draghi Buys Bonds, Fed Buys Time
Draghi's bond purchase plan keeps appetite supported & buys further time for Bernanke to delay its next QE
this is the industrial part of the yield curve.
Also holdong treasuries by china and others central bank like korea allow them to play arbitrages in futures buying of bullion.
So fondamentally the yield can rise without affecting the value of the loss of the treasury during this period . Cat, this move are quite rapid so it does not really affect the temporal value over the long term.
JPmorgan and Morgan Stanley manage partially on behalf of chinese companies their holding in treasury. so by hedging and playing put and straddle one can offset the loss of value in treasury.
have other objectives. Given that the Fed can set up a QE4 buying longterm bonds either by op twist or directly , yields cannot go up. Of course economy will not recover, either. This however will result in deflation of available USD. Is it that what the Fed is really up to? Makes sense.
If so the Fed would not want Romney.
erratum catnip for yield capped at 2.94 in 2013 with next resistance at 1.82%
Lets say it still a pipesbag with drumbeats once the cup is full it serves for fullfilling others objects.
if groth is present then yield will keep on rising and at this time one has to understand that Bernanke has stated that until 2015 he will not raised interestrate but doesnt opt out a raise in between at my opinion. this the two swords KENDO application by holding the adversary with the long and striking with the small.
when yield will begin to attain hte 3.25 percent with low interest rate then institution that borrowed at .5% will invest in their own yielding asset and prompting a raoatriation of money flow toward the usa. The Sovereign have already poured money in the american system compared to an outflow from Europe and that shows that some operation and big annoucement are underway in 2013.
like stated last weekend the yield rose and yes daveo the 2% will be attained any time soon.
Since the decision of going long the end curve of the treasury at 30 years , government institution that have access to the fed's window have earned billions. 50 basispoint on the 30 year long treasury.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7U2ModhhI9k
and or already formed waiting for hte ascending pattern to take form.
heard jAmes Kotak on bloomberg stating that yield can go up without the interest rate to move and that occurs during the WWII whene the fed yield treasuries were up to 9% while interest rates stayed at 2%.
That means us dollar is the main carry trade currency with the japanese yen which is forming a descending wedge.
one question : when price dynamic is like that where is the need of intervention cause prices automatically respond to a behavourial aspect of the trading. Better save your ammunition.
Print some 20 scottish bill with the Exsangue Cunards.which house is printing it? wiggins teape or a scottish based.