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What's the LEAST Likely event of 2013?
Gold 1300
 
 30%
Gold 2000
 
 17%
€/$ 1.50
 
 22%
€/$ 1.15
 
 22%
S&P500 1600
 
 10%
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This thread was started in response to the Poll:

What's the LEAST Likely event of 2013?

Gold is breaking below key technical levels against the euro, while the single currency is accumulating further strength against the US dollar. What's the LEAST Likely event of 2013?
 
Sahid
irreductible, France
Posts: 464
11 months ago
Oct 14, 2013 20:46
In reply to Sahid's post
only three confitming or not the default with minimal implications
Sahid
irreductible, France
Posts: 464
2 years ago
Jan 3, 2013 19:21
argentina defaulting and creating the catalyst of the south american emerging market melting
a downgrade of us debt creating hte signaling the debut of the correction.
better and better ism and confidence number culminating the SP at 1600.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
2 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 20:14
So you saying 1.15 is the least likely @ Chartvuze ?
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
2 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 19:32
In reply to cat0nip's post
like it! :)
Chartvuze
salisbury, UK
Posts: 18
2 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 19:16
Vote: d

Its only the politicians who are keeping the Euro alive, Merkel is terrified that she will be in power at the demise of the Euro.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
2 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 18:23
In reply to DaveO's post
Not so fast. 9 out of 10 analysts predict gold will go thru the roof if Fed....
Fed did and gold went thru the roof...towards the basement however.
The very same analysts now go gold loses luster because economical recovery is underway....
I think what is really coming the long end yields will go up and up. The central banks may invoke another op twist but this works only until it doesn't work anymore.
Basically the CBs don't print any money they print liquidity, while real capital gets shorter. Thus the value of real cash will rise. The mojo of liquidity printing may be gone its been too much.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
2 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 18:03
Gold 1300 least likely. Currently undervalued and more QE brings with it the threat of inflation
MuathAyesh
jeddah, Saudi Arabia
Posts: 0
2 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 17:52
The oil will pay in other currencies
Shahbaz mehdi
London, UK
Posts: 0
2 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 15:17
Vote: d

Since hitting its peak in 2008. Euro is confined in a falling triangle. I expect it not to cross more than 1.42 during 2013. Even that would be a big ask with this continuously deteriorating currency. I expect Euro to be near 1.2 by the end of this year.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
2 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 12:56
could well be ECB passes Fed in easing....
would not bet on weak USD strong EUR in 2013 first Q yes thereafter no. Provided however no member of Ezone leaves.