What's the LEAST Likely event of 2013?

Gold is breaking below key technical levels against the euro, while the single currency is accumulating further strength against the US dollar. Instead of asking about probable targets, which of the following is least likely for 2013 ?

Dec 19, 2012 14:00

What's the LEAST Likely event of 2013?

Gold 1300
 
 30%
Gold 2000
 
 17%
€/$ 1.50
 
 22%
€/$ 1.15
 
 22%
S&P500 1600
 
 10%
Voting for this poll is now closed
Comments (Showing latest 10 of 10) View All Comments
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
3 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 20:14
So you saying 1.15 is the least likely @ Chartvuze ?
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
3 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 19:32
In reply to cat0nip's post
like it! :)
Chartvuze
salisbury, UK
Posts: 18
3 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 19:16
Vote: d

Its only the politicians who are keeping the Euro alive, Merkel is terrified that she will be in power at the demise of the Euro.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
3 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 18:23
In reply to DaveO's post
Not so fast. 9 out of 10 analysts predict gold will go thru the roof if Fed....
Fed did and gold went thru the roof...towards the basement however.
The very same analysts now go gold loses luster because economical recovery is underway....
I think what is really coming the long end yields will go up and up. The central banks may invoke another op twist but this works only until it doesn't work anymore.
Basically the CBs don't print any money they print liquidity, while real capital gets shorter. Thus the value of real cash will rise. The mojo of liquidity printing may be gone its been too much.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
3 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 18:03
Gold 1300 least likely. Currently undervalued and more QE brings with it the threat of inflation
MuathAyesh
jeddah, Saudi Arabia
Posts: 0
3 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 17:52
The oil will pay in other currencies
Shahbaz mehdi
London, UK
Posts: 0
3 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 15:17
Vote: d

Since hitting its peak in 2008. Euro is confined in a falling triangle. I expect it not to cross more than 1.42 during 2013. Even that would be a big ask with this continuously deteriorating currency. I expect Euro to be near 1.2 by the end of this year.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
3 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 12:56
could well be ECB passes Fed in easing....
would not bet on weak USD strong EUR in 2013 first Q yes thereafter no. Provided however no member of Ezone leaves.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
3 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 12:27
Vote:

1.15 is synonymous w/excessive USD strength, which is unlikely given the Fed's aggressive unemployment approach to easing.

A
merlyn2013
Colombo, Sri Lanka
Posts: 0
3 years ago
Dec 20, 2012 10:21
Vote: d

One more LTRO and this time it will be taken negatively by markets and EURUSD will fall right through 1.15 in 2013