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Posts by "djellal"

751 Posts Total by "djellal":
728 Posts by member
djellal
(LAUSANNE, Switzerland)
23 Posts by Anonymous "djellal":
djellal
Switzerland
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 21, 2010 21:15
In Thread: EUR
eurusd is on an interesting level MVA200 (bearish trend is over),
so on long term view i would like to sell it too. Indeed UE inflation is on the upside, but i think USA want a weak USD in order to create new job thanks to exports that's why I think FED had dovish outlook today and hold the idea that they could put new QE on the table .
And if chinese don't hike rates new QE will be their weapon...
+ european debt crisis is over for several month
+ chinese could buy euro
USA want to hold their leadership in indian ocean where is most important exchange area in the world tht'why they should have a weak dollar to be competitive in this region against the yuan.

so I think there is no reasons for the 6 next months to see a bounce in the USD.

That's why buy eurusd for long term
djellal
Switzerland
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 21, 2010 18:35
In Thread: USD

My outlook is for no change in policy or stance; but what will that do to the dollar?

if this is the case i think USD could bounce four few days against EURO which could reach 1.2800 dispite today irish auction, because usd fell last week on more QE speculation. (short term outlook)

After that I think that big players will drill FEd for more QE next month, and we ll see USD decline gradually. (long term outlook)

djellal
Switzerland
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 21, 2010 0:34
In Thread: USD
For those who understand french

China/Africa/America latina (winners) Vs USA/Europe (losers)
http://www.michelcollon.info/Ocean-Indien-ici-se-joue-la-grande.html

Its time to put our money in south
djellal
Switzerland
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 16, 2010 10:49
In Thread: CHF
I don't want to go against the euro... and i don't excpecte a rate hike in switzerland before 2011
djellal
Switzerland
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 15, 2010 22:03
ok i m out nzd lg
djellal
Switzerland
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jun 23, 2010 11:49
In Thread: EUR
pipsters,
short eurusd, I dont know why lot of guys in this forum are excpecting a big rebound... sell all rallies..
Xaron you have a big euro exposure :
lg euraud= lg eurusd+sh audusd.
+ your lg eurusd
+ lg eurchf = lg eurusd+ lg usdchf

be cautious with lots size with each of your trades
djellal
Switzerland
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jun 17, 2010 11:51
In Thread: CHF
EXCELLENT ASHRAF
YOU HAD AN EXCELLENT VIEW ON USDCHF
djellal
Switzerland
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jun 11, 2010 12:10
In Thread: EUR
On cable 120p in the pocket... I put another short pending order at 1.4750... according to the level of eurusd right now wich seems to be supported for the moment, risk appetit is still there, I can expect a rebound on cable with this very volatil US afternoon expected... and if risk appetit is still there as I think we could expect a rally in higher yields assets with Michigan figure... on retail sales I think the figure ll be more important than last month contrary to the brokers and bloomberg expectations what could boost short term risk appetit... This could be very interesting for my trading plan because my short pending orders coulb be executed...

Trend is bearish so I don't want to play the short terms rallies... If it isn't in the end of today afternoon wee gonna see a sharp reversal on all risky assets
djellal
Switzerland
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
May 29, 2010 9:50
In Thread: EUR
With this rhythm and in spite of the politics of austerity presented by the European States the ratings agencies continue to cut rates, so we can expect a cut on Italya credit rating and medium-term England.
With this argument "countrys debt burden is likely to weigh on economic growth" numerous countries are concerned.
djellal
Switzerland
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
May 12, 2010 8:14
In Thread: EUR
yep catnip,
dispite chf sharp rally I'll short chf against eur above 1.3950 because I think SNB will intervene near this level... They are very very anxious, under 1.40 the labour market could be very affected in switzerland
What is your opinion