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Posts by "qiman"

248 Posts Total by "qiman":
228 Posts by member
Qiman
(United States)
20 Posts by Anonymous "qiman":
Qiman
New Mexico , United States
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jul 3, 2010 17:22
In Thread: WorldCup2010
Extraordinary performance, one of the all-time blowouts at this stage, aided by a pathetic Argentinian defense. I preferred watching it on the Mexican station for added drama and passion! Congrats to the Germans on this forum, you have an exciting and very skilled team, with an infusion of youth. My favorite goal was Podolski to Klose, great unselfish teamwork.
Qiman
New Mexico , United States
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jun 29, 2010 13:37
In Thread: WorldCup2010
The 20 month exponential moving average for the S and P is a point of concern for some analysts who believe it is the overall best indicator for bull or bear markets. The S&P 500 closed last Friday at 1,076.76. The 20-month EMA is at 1,086.66. Where will the S and P go this week? Today is not looking good so far.
Qiman
New Mexico , United States
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jun 7, 2010 22:00
Anxiety is mounting in financial markets that a prolonged bout of political uncertainty in Belgium following national elections next Sunday could prevent decisive action to tackle the nation's debt mountain that threatens to turn it into "the Greece of the north".

Interest rates on 10-year Belgian government bonds jumped from 3.15 to 3.50 per cent last week and investors are demanding a mounting premium to hold the debt over corresponding German paper.

Belgium's debt is currently at 99 per cent of its gross domestic product, the highest in the eurozone after Greece and Italy, and is forecast to exceed GDP by the end of the year
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/a37cfa18-71ca-11df-8eec-00144feabdc0.html
Qiman
New Mexico , United States
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
May 20, 2010 2:17
Thanks so much for all your hard work on this excellent write-up, Ashraf!

Since the cheaper Euro makes exports more competitive, and with Germany especially being such an export machine, how much countervailing pressure is there by industry groups to keep the Euro low in order to further improve the export performances?

Also, I have really noticed that occasionally silver trades like a precious metal/gold proxy, while most days the focus is on its industrial uses, and then it falls or rises with the broader market. Have you ever seen any repeatable and tradeable pattern vis-a-vis this back and forth focus from precious metal to industrial metal? It seems rather random to me, but with your years of experience perhaps there is some trick up your sleeve?
Qiman
New Mexico , United States
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 18, 2010 14:37
Regarding the comment that this technique is "sooo old":

"From the information released by UTA, we don't know precisely what innovation the scientists stumbled upon. The Austin TV reporter quoted Prof. Dennis as saying: "I had the idea for this while I was walking to my car. I ran back to the lab and I started drawing it out in my notebook."

As the scientists describe it, though, the technology uses "micro-fluidic reactors" that convert coal to synthetic crude at a fraction of the cost incurred with traditional conversion methods - and in a fraction of the time."

BTW, one of my best friends since childhood is a highly experienced petroleum engineer for the EPA in the Houston area--he disagrees with those who are immediately writing this off. And history is full of eureka moments that radically improve technology. Time will tell, as with all purported technological breakthroughs . . .

Qiman
New Mexico , United States
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 18, 2010 14:11
This is for those of you interested in long-term oil prices, this is possibly a very significant development:

Researchers at the University of Texas at Arlington announced that they have developed a breakthrough and clean way to turn the cheapest kind of coal-lignite- into synthetic crude. "We're improving the cost every day. We started off some time ago at an uneconomical $17,000 a barrel. Today, we're at ... $28.84 a barrel," Rick Billo, UTA's dean of engineering, told an Austin television reporter.

Texas lignite coal sells for $18 a tonne. The coal conversion technology uses one tonne of coal to produce 1.5 barrels of crude oil. One barrel of crude produces 42 U.S. gallons of gasoline. In other words, $18 worth of coal yields 63 gallons of gasoline: 0.28 cents a gallon. A prototype refinery is slated for completion by the end of the year:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/industry-news/energy-and-resources/texas-university-has-eureka-moment-for-coal-to-gas/article1502823/



Qiman
New Mexico , United States
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 17, 2010 17:17
In Thread: EUR
@said: Pretty big topic, but from my perspective we are in the middle of a massive shift in the balance of power, where both the Euro and Dollar in the next few years will likely face major difficulties, or even sooner. The US has just about bankrupted itself with endless wars and charity to the banksters, and the EU was built on a shaky foundation. Both have major structural problems in too many area to mention. The dollar is the least ugly of major currencies--for now! You mentioned 5 years. I personally am holding some physical gold and silver in light of the massive QE around the globe, which will eventually create inflation, but only when the velocity of money increases. Could be deflation first. Five years is a long time in this market, but I like the PMs at the end of that period as an investment and an insurance policy against the printing presses.

As far as nations, I believe Brazil is gaining much momentum as a power while the developed economies stumble and fumble, India as well. Russia has done little to change its long term prospects. China and the US are just about certain to clash in a major way.

We are about to enter more volatile and dangerous times. As traders we should be able to make a alot of money from these energies--taking advantage of the chaos instead of being its victim. But only if we can flow with the trends and set our biases aside quickly!
Qiman
New Mexico , United States
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 17, 2010 1:36
In Thread: EUR
Read a fascinating article today on the Stratfor site -- Germany: Mitteleuropa Redux. It was just posted today, and unlike most of their cutting-edge research, this article is free, and it has some very interesting postulations about the future of Germany and the Euro. Here is an excerpt:

"The implications of this are difficult to overstate. If the euro is essentially gutting the European and again to a greater extent the Club Med economic base, then Germany is achieving by stealth what it failed to achieve in the past thousand years of intra-European struggles."
http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/20100315_germany_mitteleuropa_redux
Qiman
New Mexico , United States
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 16, 2010 18:58
I agree 100 % regarding being nimble--the markets can do anything at anytime! I only trade Futures, and I've seen that at times some of the worst traders are lawyers, who by training may want to keep arguing with the market. Flexibility in light of changing energetic patterns, that is what will keep you alive. Some of my best trades have been quick reversals upon seeing my view of probable price movement was in error.
Qiman
New Mexico , United States
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 23, 2010 22:10
Thank you for this insightful analysis! I noticed the CAD weakness as well today. What is also interesting to me is that fundamentally the Australian economy is growing well and more rate hikes are expected. But looking at technicals, today's AUD/US sell-off below the 100-day average makes me wonder about a brief shorting opportunity versus the US. I will be watching this closely; what do you think Ashraf, might this also be just a pre-Bernanke speech blip?