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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8935
Forum Topic:

Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)

Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
 
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
13 years ago
Jun 14, 2011 13:08
cat, any reading for that? why they block?
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Jun 14, 2011 9:52
Imo it is speculation by Russian oligarchs that drive brent. Because the price of nat gas by Gazprom is pegged to price of brent, and Russian Urals crude is pegged to brent crude.
There is no free nat gas market in Europe of Eurozone. Gazprom nat gas is three times more expensive than Henry Hub spot per BTU. Proposals by Portugal to import LNG from US are still blocked by Germany and France.
bhglitter123
dubai, United Arab Emirates
Posts: 36
13 years ago
Jun 14, 2011 9:21
Ashraf no new updated trading calls?
Jedrom
Eskilstuna, Sweden
Posts: 3
13 years ago
Jun 13, 2011 15:31
Please advice, I would like to understand why the spread is too big between the UScrude and UKcrude, usually the price difference is 1 to 2 USD, most likely the UScrude more expensive than UKcrude. Now a day UKcrude price is almost 20 USD higher that UScrude.
thank you in advance!
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
13 years ago
Jun 13, 2011 1:01
imho stock indices near bottom, my target on spx is 1220, then 1180/90.

what do you think?
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
Jun 10, 2011 19:36
DOWNPLAYING IMF GOLD SALES?

From MNI FX Bullets

GOLD: Analysts downplay reports Friday that suggest recent IMF gold
sales of 50-odd metric tonnes. They note that the World Gold Council's
June update said that the IMF had 2,814 metric tonnes as per April 2011,
unchanged from the end of year. The IMF concluded the sale of 403.3
metric tonnes (announced in Sept 2009) at the end of December 2010. One
gold analyst explains that the new year of the (five-year) Central Bank
Gold Agreement began in September 2010 so the newly reported sales are
likely from 2010. "This is just re-iterating the year-to-date,
previously disclosed sales." he says. Another analyst agrees "I think it
is due to time-delays in the IMF publishing its data." James Moore,
precious metals analyst at The BullionDesk says gold's slide Friday is
"a bit of an overreaction with IMF and ECB sales still to conform to the
CBGA limits, and are a mix of lackluster data, slowing physical demand
due to market seasonality and some stale long liquidation after gold
failed to make an upside breakout above $1550-$1554."


MNI FX Bullets can obtained with your Premium Subscription for $140/month when combined with the "Intermarket Insight" instead of $320 when purchased straight from MNI.

Here is how to subscribe: http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
Jun 10, 2011 19:23
MNI FX Bullets on talks of Saudi Output Hike


NYMEX July light sweet crude (WTI) continues to tumble, partly
on a lack of topside followthrough, partly on risk aversion, and partly
on a report in the al-Hayat newspaper stating that Saudi Arabia will
boost production in July to 10 million barrels per day (from 8.8mn in
May), traders say. The move by the Saudis was largely expected after the
lack of agreement at this week's OPEC meeting, they note. The front
contract holds at $99 per barrel, down from an earlier high of $102.15
and up from a low of $98.79. In May, crude posted a 31-month high of
$114.83 (May 2) only to fall to $94.63 (May 6). This month, oil has
traded in a $97.74 (June 7) to $103.31 (June 1) range.


Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
Jun 10, 2011 2:42
Added OIL to the latest Premium Piece, using CRB, Daily & Weekly Crude

PREMIUM ACCESShttp://tinyurl.com/6x2f4md

If you are not a Premium subscriber, click here to purchase
http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/


Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Jun 9, 2011 20:19
We lowered the target for US crude from 103.80 to 102.50, alas todays high was at 102.44.

I have periodically spoken about what it means for stocks

Last bullet point in Chap. 6.http://ashraflaidi.com/book/ worked on monthly cycles but also wkly. Gold/Oil Ratio best to use Brent.



Ashraf
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
13 years ago
Jun 8, 2011 19:29
Some very large HF got hit in May...Its funny how many HF actually are just simple long only funds, charging 2 & 20 due to some very good marketing and pretty IR girls