Forum > View Topic
by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
Vasya
Buburatcho, Bahamas
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 19, 2010 16:07
Here is the budget gaps by state for 2010 (Table 4)
http://www.cbpp.org/cms/?fa=view&id=711

For 2011 look Table 1

For example compare 2011 for

Illinois 0 $13.5 billion $13.5 billion 40.4% (Total Shortfall as Percent of FY11 Budget)

compare to

Texas $3.3 billion $1.3 billion $4.6 billion 10.2% (Total Shortfall as Percent of FY11

Budget)

So in that example Illinois is 4 times worse than Texas

California is twice as bad in that matter than Texas

California* 0 $17.9 billion $17.9 billion* 20.7%


Now you can compare state by state ;)
Vasya
Buburatcho, Bahamas
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 19, 2010 15:50
RE: Why Texas in particular?

That guy have no clue what he's talking about. Particularly Texas was running

surplus budget till 2010, so obviously it's doing much better, than many other problematic

states like CA. AS for the EURUSD I expect range.. 1.29-1.34, which will depend on "who

said what and when" Jawboning will move markets, as all major currencies are under same

conditions i mean EUR/USD/GBP none of them either better or worse. That's why CHF

running absurd valuation. Swiss Frank actually small spare change coin, how the heck it

could be valued more than a dollar? I wish Silver could drop back to low $20/oz, so

I can load some more.. EU? Buy low Sell high. After Obama sign extension of the Tax Cuts

in to the law, Moodys

should Downgrade US Bonds from 'AAA' at least that's what they said before approval.

That should lead to some haircut for the USDx. IMHO.

Have a great Holidays.
Ignore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 19, 2010 1:16
Cygnus..deh no know..deh drunk ol men..:)
cygnus
New York, United States
Posts: 63
13 years ago
Dec 18, 2010 18:51
"...economic graduates in recent years need to go back to school to learn the meaning of a loan..."

Oh sure, you should send them all back to university. Maybe to the University of East Anglia this time. I guess they would first have to dig their hybrids out of all that global warming.

"...I can also see the USA unwinding, particularly Texas..."

Why Texas in particular?



DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 18, 2010 16:47
It is the younger generations that got us into the financial mess. All economic graduates in recent years need to go back to school to learn the meaning of a loan. Its that silly ! They studied the wrong model. Young wiz kids from multi level marketing replaced older generation bank managers in the mid 90's. They would now be about age 40/45. Wow they could sell sand to the arabs but they had no idea about business. Young people naturally have idealistic views but then catnip they grow up into men with some real experience in life.

I'm afraid the european parliament is a wonderful den of corruption and never likely to change. Members are not even accountable. Older people tend to be nationalistic for very good reason ! Your idealistic dream is finished. Its just a matter of time. And what do you think of Belgium's government in the last 6 months catnip ? yes I mean the capital of europe. What a farce.

I can also see the USA unwinding, particularly Texas. The union has been cheated. Politicians are a necessary evil but they only plan as far as the next election and most have no other experience in life except hot air and exploiting self interest. The union was originally governed by part time entrepreneurs from all sectors. It had a chance of working then. Now congress is nearly as bad as the european parliament. The world is in great danger of total implosion catnip but you seem to think that spinning money around in circles playing tricks can solve everything, real jobs and real work producing goods of value are what matter. You can look to germany for what I am talking about. Much of europe became excessively lazy and uncompetitive because it was your idealistic dream that created that situation. In the end eveything will revert back to the laws of nature. You won't even be able to trade markets for your living. You will be forced to produce something useful or choose to starve :-)

catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 18, 2010 13:45
Yes I have read Kicking the Can Down the Road by John Mauldin.
However , lets say the older folks, they are still nationalists, but the younger are Europeans.
They don't stick to nationalism, but love Europe's diversity. This is its strength but nations are just one: a huge administration. Very expensive and essentially ineffective. It is interesting that
overall the less educated are nationalist the better educated are Europeans. You find this clash everywhere from Italy to Denmark. I think this is mainly an effect of internet mailing lists and blogs. Eventually we don't need politicians anymore.
Of course it is impossible to reveal back to national currencies. Since much of PIIGS bonds are
in the books of german banks, the devaluation of these assets if germany reverted back to a national currency would immediately kill the new national currency. We see the effect of act now think later.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Dec 18, 2010 13:07
The best choice for germany, that means the lesser of great evils, is to revert back to your own currency and let the rest of europe go its own way. By all means try to maintain some degree of trading union with europe and uk must do similarly without picking up the tab for a lot of past extravagance and laziness. Non competitive countries will have to wake up to the laws of nature.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 18, 2010 12:58
Catnip, the "one europe" idea was ruined when it started ! Forget being a european and become a loyal german citizen. Large is not beautiful, small is beautiful.

Read this please. JM has a lifetime of experience and his forecasts have been second to none.

Kicking the Can Down the Road
December 17, 2010

Different Cans for Different Folks
More Debt is NOT the Solution to Too Much Debt
http://www.frontlinethoughts.com/index.asp
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 18, 2010 10:05
Merkel: the stake is set on fire and the guillotine is sharpened and well greased.
She had to admit economy politics is a failure and Ezone has to prepare a common ministry of economy. The most important step is a common treasury issuing Eurobonds.
Political activism will go off in PIIGS to behead this Germany above all lady politically.
She has ruined the one-Europe idea.


DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Dec 18, 2010 0:38
Long Hui, he is supposed to be on vacation until the New Year. However Ashraf idea of vacation is to keep working a lot of the time. He still posting on twitter.