أشرف ألعايدي على قناة سي إن بي سي العربية -- 06 يونيو 2012
Jun 6, 2012 19:36
Ashraf tells CNBC Arabia that the latest downgrades of 7 German and Austrian banks may be merely a sign of partial exposure to faulty loans in Central and Eastern Europe, but the drag from Southern Europe on Germany remains a matter of concern. This is seen in all of Germany's surveys (investor, economic, consumer and industrial), all of which are at or nearing contraction territory. Much of these macro charts are looking increasingly similar to late 2007, early 2008.
The current bounce in risk appetite at the expense of USD is here to stay, but for how long? And will it be followed by a 100-pt consolidation until the next barrage of policy solutions? Click here for direct access to today's edition:http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/access/?a=644 Click here to subscribe: http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/
Nvidia earnings are due today after the closing bell. Research from Bloomberg (see chart below) indicates that gains or losses seen in the S&P500 emerging on the day of the releases, were usually reversed following day. With earnings guidance already elevated and stock up 30% off the March lows, there remains ample room for disappointment. Will the S&P500 bounce be sold the next day? Bloomberg highlights the number "$1 trillion", referring to CEO Jensen Huang's minimum projection for sales of Blackwell and Rubin AI chips in 2027. There's also the possibility of rising input/energy costs. Also, is the S&P500 or Nasdaq100 showing a right shoulder top near 7450 and 29350 respectively?
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I created this chart in December 2024, pointing to the importance of understanding some of the fundamental events shaping USD Index between 2018 and 2019. Why 2018 and 2019.
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