Intraday Market Thoughts

Silver Day Trading

May 14, 2026 18:24 | by Ashraf Laidi

Here is how we went short and long silver by combining 3 different approaches of technical analysis. All 3 approaches highlighted the importance of 84.00 /oz as a key support (confluence of trendline support, 38% fibonacci and prev resistance turned support).

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Silver Day Trading - Silver Daily May 14 (Chart 1)

Try this with gold and oil

May 12, 2026 12:54 | by Ashraf Laidi

Here is a quick video explaining how to hedge oil with gold. Considering the clearly inverse correlation between gold and oil (-0.70 over 20-day basis), if you buy both gold and oil, or sell both within a predefined ranges, it could work out well. Watch.

Try this with gold and oil - Youtube Cov Gold Oil Hedging (Chart 1)
 

Gold & Silver 38 Pct Retracements

May 6, 2026 19:34 | by Ashraf Laidi

Gold is back retesting that $4670/80 level, representing the 38% fibonacci retracement, covered in that Fibonacci video 3 weeks ago. This time, however, the level, becomes a resistance rather than support. Note how silver is also facing a key 38% retracement level around 84.00. It is common to see silver falling behind gold, or gold leading silver. If more optimism emerges and metals push higher alongside further USD weakness, then silver's path above 80 will imply a decline in the gold/silver ratio. Watch whether gold closes the NY session above $4680/90, in which case silver will need to confirm with a break above 80 in Thursday Asia or Thursday Europe session.  For those trading gold, 4720 follows as the immediate resistance, a break oif which paves the way for 4770.  

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Gold & Silver 38 Pct Retracements - Gold Silver Retracement (Chart 1)

Bitcoin Update

May 5, 2026 14:30 | by Ashraf Laidi

The importance of $87000 in Bitcoin recoveries and the High-to-Low cycle characteristics of Bitcoin. Watch here.

JPY Soars & Oil Drops

Apr 30, 2026 12:49 | by Ashraf Laidi

The current decline in oil prices has accelerated the decline in USDJPY as Japan is one of the world's biggest oil importers. Some oil charts are showing a potential for a double top. Those who missed the move in USDPY, should tread carefully. The pair broke below the 55 and 100 DMA in a single day to register its biggest percentage decline since December 2022 of more than 2.5% . DXY is down 0.8%, its fastest daily percentage decline since March 19. Shorting USDJPY at this point is risky as it is resting on the trendline support from the April 2025 low. Do not short USDJPY below155.80/80.

For US crude oil, however, currently trading at 104.15, the the next trendline support stands at $102.00, withe the potential of seeing a $101.30 print. Keep an eye on Brent oil, which is already resting on the trendline support (see chart) at $114.00. A close below $111.00, could become the driver of other energy prices and trigger a sub $100 in crude. 

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JPY Soars & Oil Drops - Oil Crude Brent (Chart 1)


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