Dax remains firmly supported and so does S&P500 but the latter appears more vulnerable to a technical break. Germany's benchmark index continues to close above the trendline support extending from the September 2011 lows. It also closes at 6577, just above the 100-week moving average of 6561. Meanwhile, the S&P500 may have broken below the September trendline support, but manages to hold above the 100-day moving average (1349). The index requires a follow-up/beak above 1375 in order to extend the rebound towards the next barrier at 1385 (55 DMA). To subscribe to our Premium Intermarket Insights, click here: http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/
Now that both gold and silver broke well below key fibonacci levels following the jump in global bond yields, the selloff could accelerate depending on the extent, which stocks correct. We have learned this year, each time indices fall by more than 1%, metals move lower as asset managers liquidate long metals positions to stabilize their portfolios. We know the #1 economic priority (not an exageration) of the US administration is to stabilise bond yields in order to cap the interest rate on servicing the ballooning US debt. Gold and silver need to save the immediate support of 4500/oz and 75.40s/oz . The 23.6% retracement follow at $4450/oz and $73/oz respectively. Keep an eye on 10 year US bond yields, especially the possibility of a breakout of the wedge, which could trigger 5.0% in a swift manner. The market consequences of such an event would be cataclysmic.
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Understanding US Dollar 2018 2019
I created this chart in December 2024, pointing to the importance of understanding some of the fundamental events shaping USD Index between 2018 and 2019. Why 2018 and 2019.
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