Ashraf tells CNBC that despite the broadening dynamics of a risk-off environment (dismal US jobs report and financing deadlock in Spain), the current rebound in EURUSD, stabilization in gold and pullback in the USD is a reflection of 3 temporary factors. Ashraf speaks about the difference between dissecting "muddling through" solutions and fundamentals-changing policies, extent of EURUSD bounce, latest Aussie GDP figures & why they are lagging, Bank of Canada direction, remaining solutions from the ECB as well as the dynamics of the US economy.
The CURRENT BOUNCE in risk appetite at the expense of USD is here to stay, but for how long? And will it be followed by a 100-pt consolidation until the next barrage of policy solutions? Tonight's Intermarket Insights provide the trading ideas and charts on EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, US crude and gold. Click here for direct access to today's edition:http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/access/?a=644 Click here to subscribe: http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/
The odds of a Fed rate cut in January fell from 17% earlier in the day to 11% after the release of better than expected Services ISM and somewhat disappointing JOLTS survey on jobs openings. The chart below shows the graphs for expectations of a Fed rate cut for January (Green) and March (White). Focusing on the green graph, see how the probability of a January rate cut fell from 27% in mid December to 11% today, during which the DXY rose while gold also rose. Here is what I think: Even if the Fed ends up holding rates unchanged, expect gold and equities to be propped by an upcoming announcement from Donald Trump revealing his pick for the Fed chairmanship. Looking ahead. Keep an eye on $4400 and $70 as support for gold and silver respectively, with 1.1645 foundation for EURUSD. For equity indices, expect more gains into mid January for now. Take a look at AAOIhere
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Latest Hot-Chart - Jan 08
Gold Channel ABC and D
سأرسل رسالة صوتية و كتابية توضيحية لأعضاء مجموعة الواتساب الخاصة حول هذه المخططات - Will send detailed note on latest parameters to our WhatsApp Bdcst Group - -...
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Understanding US Dollar 2018 2019
I created this chart in December 2024, pointing to the importance of understanding some of the fundamental events shaping USD Index between 2018 and 2019. Why 2018 and 2019.
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