Bernanke resorts to the familiar method of reiterating the Fed's willingness to do more if required by the labour market without necessarily signalling any imminent action. Euro is the biggest victim of Bernanke's silence, losing nearly a full cent to reach $1.2205 after Bernanke's text hit the wires. The single currency faces increasing macro, fiscal and structural challenges deemed required to extend its decline below $1.20 and towards the $1.18 levels of 2 years ago when Eurozone problems were far less pronounced than they are today.
Short of an aggressive round of outright asset purchases from the Fed and a 3rd LTRO (this time at 0.75%), the single currency's days above $1.20 may become numbered. The question then remains, to what extent will any central bank-driven euro bounce remain short-lived? And with a stimulus package from China becoming more imminent, chances for coordinated global interventions become inevitable.
Nvidia earnings are due today after the closing bell. Research from Bloomberg (see chart below) indicates that gains or losses seen in the S&P500 emerging on the day of the releases, were usually reversed following day. With earnings guidance already elevated and stock up 30% off the March lows, there remains ample room for disappointment. Will the S&P500 bounce be sold the next day? Bloomberg highlights the number "$1 trillion", referring to CEO Jensen Huang's minimum projection for sales of Blackwell and Rubin AI chips in 2027. There's also the possibility of rising input/energy costs. Also, is the S&P500 or Nasdaq100 showing a right shoulder top near 7450 and 29350 respectively?
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Understanding US Dollar 2018 2019
I created this chart in December 2024, pointing to the importance of understanding some of the fundamental events shaping USD Index between 2018 and 2019. Why 2018 and 2019.
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