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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
Pipster
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jul 19, 2010 15:46
Guys

Is it a good idea to short the Wur/Jpy now - its struggling to get past 113
macrosam
United States
Posts: 190
14 years ago
Jul 19, 2010 15:10
If you believe EUR will continue to rally, may be a good time to short Schatz
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
14 years ago
Jul 19, 2010 14:22
1.3 still holding in eurusd
hamish
vancouver, Canada
Posts: 26
14 years ago
Jul 19, 2010 13:01
ASHRAF-Re web remark. Do you use stochastics setting 9 33 for all time frames?
macrosam
United States
Posts: 190
14 years ago
Jul 19, 2010 12:57
This helps explain the success of the recent Euro zone bond issues. The widening in the Euro zone current account deficit likely matched a widening in China's current account surplus (cause and effect) and China consequently had to recycle the surplus abroad.

Euro zone current account deficit widens in May

19 Jul, 2010 @ 04:06 am BST | written by ecPulse.com

Euro zone current account seasonally adjusted showed a winded deficit in May to 5.8 billion euros compared with the prior deficit of 5.1 billion euros which was revised to 5.6 billion euros.

The non-seasonally-adjusted reading also showed a widened deficit to 16.7 billion euros from 6.9 billion euros, revised downwards to 7.5 billion euros.
macrosam
United States
Posts: 190
14 years ago
Jul 19, 2010 11:57
Makes me believe exports to the US are slowing down, or that he anticipates China will be getting less long US dollars going forward (less exports and RMB appreciation) so current reserves are excessive in anticipation of this decline.

macrosam
United States
Posts: 190
14 years ago
Jul 19, 2010 11:55
This mornings WSJ article probably aided the bid in EUR from the lows:

WSJ: Former PBOC Adviser: China Should Reduce Dollar Assets In FX Reserves
DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

China should reduce the amount of U.S. dollar-denominated assets in its
foreign exchange reserves in favor of those denominated in other currencies or
other types of assets, former People's Bank of China adviser Yu Yongding wrote
in an article published in the state-run China Securities Journal on Monday.

China doesn't disclose detailed information about the composition of its
foreign-exchange reserves--at nearly $2.5 trillion, the world's biggest--but
economists have estimated 65%-70% of the reserves are invested in U.S. dollar-
denominated assets, mostly U.S. Treasurys.

...
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Jul 19, 2010 10:19
Seeing EURUSD at 1.3030 today

but key target is 13130 for later in week.

Ashraf
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jul 19, 2010 7:34
macrosam
ECB reports show banks just drained their deposits at ECB
PureStones
Korea Sout
Posts: 67
14 years ago
Jul 19, 2010 3:34
new week start! south korea won/dollar rise. will the risk aversion take a chance?