Greece Gets Testy, Yen Shorts Jump Again
Eurogroup President Jean-Claude Juncker sent the clearest message yet that Greek talks are deteriorating as he refused to take a weekend call from Tsipras. Up next, it's a round of economic data from Japan, including GDP revisions. CFTC positioning data showed a second consecutive jump in yen shorts.
On Sunday, Juncker took another stab at Tsipras saying “in order to remain friends one has to respect some minimum rules.” The turmoil could weigh on the euro at some point Monday but it's only down a handful of pips in early trading.
Up next, a busy round of economic data hits at 2350 GMT when Japan releases its final revisions to Q1 GDP. Early estimates were middling but revisions have been consistently higher and the final look is expected to boost the pace of growth to 2.8% from 2.4%. It's likely to be another dagger to those looking for more QE this year.
Current account, bank lending and trade balance numbers will be reported at the same time.
It's a holiday in Australia.
Commitments of Traders
Speculative net futures trader positions as of the close on Tuesday. Net short denoted by - long by +.
EUR -165K vs -172K prior
JPY -86K vs -62K prior
GBP -26K vs -26K prior
AUD -13K vs +6K prior
CAD -1K vs +4K prior
CHF +8K vs +8K prior
Just two weeks ago, the market was nearly neutral on the yen but the breakout in dollar has traders piling in. That helps to explain why the dips have been narrow and have been bought aggressively. No doubt the trade is even more crowded after non-farm payrolls.
Also note that CAD and AUD have flipped to short from long, but the market has done a middling job of staying on the right side of that trade.
|GDP Annualized (Q1)|
|2.4%||Jun 07 23:50|
|GDP (Q1) (q/q)|
|0.6%||Jun 07 23:50|
|GDP Deflator (Q1) (y/y)|
|3.4%||Jun 07 23:50|
|Current Account n.s.a. (APR)|
|¥2,795.3B||Jun 07 23:50|
|Bank lending (MAY) (y/y)|
|2.6%||Jun 07 23:50|
|Trade Balance - BOP Basis (APR)|
|¥671.4B||Jun 07 23:50|
See you at NY Traders' Expo
by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 27, 2020 11:38
للمشاهدين خارج الشرق الأوسط
by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 27, 2020 10:48
هل حان وقت الشراء؟
by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 26, 2020 15:54
Between Greed & Fear
by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 26, 2020 15:32
The Coronavirus Positioning
by Adam Button | Feb 25, 2020 16:02