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Analytics

These Analytics are graphic illustrations of the little understood dynamics underpinning the interrelationship between currencies, yield curves steepness and speculative interest in foreign exchange markets. Many FX market participants are aware of the correlations between short term interest rates and currencies. AshrafLaidi.com's Analytics help you gain from the cross dynamics between yield curve formations, global bond spreads and speculators' FX flows, and how these will shed invaluable insights about the next move in risk appetite and Forex.
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EUR Trade Index 18-Year Chart
Daily chart of 18 years of cyclical developments in finance & politics [read more]
JPY Trade Index 29-Year Chart
Monthly chart of 29 years of cyclical developments in finance & politics [read more]
GBP Trade Index 18-Year Chart
Daily chart of 18 years of cyclical developments in finance & politics [read more]
US Dollar Index 14-Year Chart
Daily chart of 14 years of cyclical developments in finance & politics [read more]
Speculators' Futures FX Positions
The weekly figures on traders' futures commitments obtained from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's International Monetary Market shed valuable light on the developing flows pursuing one currency versus another. [read more]
Global Yield Curves
Yield curves are a snapshot of bond yields of similar credit quality and asset class, ranging from maturities of as little as one month to 30 years. [read more]
 
   
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Intraday Market Thoughts

2009.01.05: Cable +300 pips, reaching my $1.47 target mentioned earlier (see previous Intraday Market Thought) despite toay's broad USD rally. Today's GBP advances mark the building blocks of a possible $1.5050 reading before Thursday's Bank of England rate decision. Market chatter leaning towards a smaller rate cut of as little as 50 bps, but 75-bp cut, would also help extend GBP gains on the foundation that the BoE may be nearing the end of the easing.

2009.01.05: USDJPY breaks out to 4-week highs at 93.56, cheering the extended pick up in global risk appetite, which is boosting all major yen crosses. I warned in Fridays note "Risk Appetite Pushes Envelope" that a breach of 92.50 in USDJPY would be followed by a major trend line resistance of 97.50 on the weekly chart. But the interim resistance of 94.00 will... Rest of analysis available to subscribers of Intraday Market Thoughts.

2009.01.05: GBPUSD was initially dragged by both the sell-off in EURUSD and the latest record low in UK CIPS construction survey, which hit 29.3 in December from ...

 

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