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  • أشرف العايدي على قناة العربية -- 06 يونيو 2013

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 6, 2013 22:06
    أشرف العايدي على قناة العربية -- 06 يونيو 2013 Chart Sterling's rare superiority in the "fundamentals is seen in the charts of the global PMIs for manufacturing and services. For the first time in over 5 years, UK PMIs in both services and manufacturing have surpassed those of the US, China, Eurozone and Germany. With the Bank of England going as long as 12 months without increasing monthly asset purchases, such relative policy positioning is becoming increasingly positive for the currency. And with UK data hovering from neutral to positive, the case for additional asset purchases is weakened.

  • أشرف العايدي على سي ان بي سي العربية -- 05 يونيو2013

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 5, 2013 20:32
    أشرف العايدي على سي ان بي سي العربية -- 05 يونيو2013 Chart Ashraf continues to expect that the Fed will not reduce purchases this year, but the US dollar is likely to retain its firmness. While the Fed is locked into the pendulum of market expectations of tapering/maintaining purchases, the ECB remains linked to the rate cut/rate hold pendulum. Ashraf also explains the 2 main structural changes lining up in favour of the Nikkei despite recent losses. The trading implications of such insights are found in: http://ashraflaidi.com/account/logon?ReturnUrl=%2fpremium

  • أشرف العايدي على سي ان بي سي العربية -- 22 مايو2013

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 22, 2013 17:14
    أشرف العايدي على سي ان بي سي العربية -- 22 مايو2013 Chart Ashraf gives his assessment on BoE's Mervyn King, UK inflation and the pospects for FX. The Fed's repetitive references to tapering asset purchases and increasing them are the latest rhetorical tool in guiding market sentiment. As the economy cools off, the doves at the Fed are on a mission to restore a more symmetric rhetoric, following a hawkish narrative prevailing in the first 3 months of the year. Both of our longs in EURUSD thei final targets as so did GBPUSD shrt. USDJPY and USDCAD are 20 pips away from their final objective. 1 of 2 silver shorts ae in progress. Full detail on trades & charts are here: http://ashraflaidi.com/premium

  • Ashraf on FT Video with John Authers - May 14, 2013

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 16, 2013 2:20
    Ashraf on FT Video with John Authers - May 14, 2013 Chart Telling the FT's Investment Editor John Authers why the USDJPY is particularly powerful and could extend to 108. Never since the USD was freely floated has USDJPY rallied for 8 consecutive months. Aside from some historical technical points, the choice of the Bank of Japan governor, the disinflationary tendency of the world economy and the positioning of the Federal Reserve are among the key forces underpinning the rally ahead. For tradable FX ideas, please see our Premium section. http://ashraflaidi.com/premium/trades

  • أشرف العايدي على قناة العربية -- 13 مايو2013

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 13, 2013 17:23
    أشرف العايدي على قناة العربية -- 13 مايو2013 Chart 93% of shares in the ?&?500 are trading above their 200-day moving averages a level not seen since May 2011. The indicator (200-DMA participation) gives an idea on the internal strength of the underlying index, by highlighting the degree of participation of individual shares in the current rally. In addition, the S&P500 went 49 weeks without falling more than 10%, which is the longest since the 60 weeks elapsing between March 2009 and April 2010. For our latest Premium Insights, please visithttp://ashraflaidi.com/premium

  • Ashraf Laidi co-hosting CNBC Europe - May 3, 2013

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 4, 2013 17:07
    Ashraf Laidi co-hosting CNBC Europe - May 3, 2013 Chart Ashraf discusses: - The prospects of negative ECB rates - Novtony's remarks highlighted by Austrian banks' situation - On the Hedgehog-Fox analogy regarding Bernanke-Draghi - Macro-Market Divergence - Outlook for Equities - Views on EURUSD and USDJPY

  • أشرف العايدي على قناة العربية -- 1 مايو2013

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 1, 2013 15:39
    أشرف العايدي على قناة العربية -- 1 مايو2013 Chart The contrast between stable market metrics and recession-stuck Eurozone offers little choice to the ECB but to opt for the rate cut route instead of the LTRO alternative. A 25-bp cut may be insignificant, but failure to cut would disappoint 80% of market participants expecting a rate cut, which may trigger a fresh euro rally to the detriment of the already struggling Eurozone, including a recession-bound Germany. A Draghi rate cut would be more tactical than macroeconomic. That is especially the case considering the FOMC will most likely downgrade its economic view and put to rest all speculation of tapering QE before year-end. A dovish Fed on Wednesday will have to be followed by a dovish ECB on Thursday.

  • أشرف العايدي على سي ان بي سي العربية -- 30 أبريل 2013

    by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 30, 2013 17:38
    أشرف العايدي على سي ان بي سي العربية -- 30 أبريل 2013 Chart ECB's Draghi is now forced by the market to go on with the much anticipated rate cut --even if it it has little macroeconimic effect. Leaving rates unchanged would prop the euro higher, especially as the FOMC will likely downgrade its economic view on Wednesday and dampen expectations of any eearly reduction of QE. For more tradable ideas on EURUSD, the rest of FX pairs and metals, please visit:http://ashraflaidi.com/premium

  • أشرف العايدي على سي ان بي سي العربية -- 18 أبريل 2013

    by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 18, 2013 18:36
    أشرف العايدي على سي ان بي سي العربية -- 18 أبريل 2013 Chart Ashraf tells CNBC Arabia about the losses in gold and the $560 bn in losses to central bank reserves. Fears of margin hikes in China, chatter that Italy (4th largest owner of gold) may start selling reserves; Fed selling GLD naked shorts in order to rebalance the 50-1 ratio of Buyers-Sellers of bullion; and violent unwinding of the short yen/long risk assets trade leading to gold liquidation. Last week we warned about the sharp drop in the Gold/S&P500 ratio, which today has reached a 5-year low. The big question now emerges as to where gold will go. 1350 has proven to be the 30% peak to trough decline, referred to in previous webinars and to our Premium subscribers. The recent bounce may lift gold towards 1400s but so far the indications suggest gold will revisit 1350s and may have the dynamics to extend further down to 1290s. Our bearish stance of the past 3 months has been mainly backed by multi-time frame momentum measures, which we converted into recommendations for our Premium subscribers with varying success due to miscalculation of stops. More importantly, trading rationales were accompanied with each trade and shift in bias. There are also important developments in the Gold/Silver ratio and the extent to which silver may add to its losses.http://ashraflaidi.com/premium/trades

  • أشرف العايدي على قناة العربية -- 15 أبريل 2013

    by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 15, 2013 14:23
    أشرف العايدي على قناة العربية -- 15 أبريل 2013 Chart Gold selloff turns to a free fall on reports of margin calls hitting buyers at the Shanghai Gold Exchange. China's weaker than expected GDP figures coming in at 7.7% from 7.9% did not help metals either. Fears that nations other than Cyprus will resort to gold selling to bolster their finances are hurting the metal. Silver extends collapse to 23. Both gold and silver are seeing a Monday rebound, which many conclude to be bottom fishing by the central banks. To find out, which of the 2 metals faces more downside, take a look at our note on the Gold/Silver Ratio in the latest Premium note. New trades are issued on GOLD, SILVER and USDCAD with accompanying trading notes to lay out the rationale for these trades.http://ashraflaidi.com/premium

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