Iran Polymarket & Fed Odds

by Ashraf Laidi

Feb 20, 2026 11:27

The chart below shows the rising odds of a US Strike on Iran from Polymarket. My latest video shows gold's initial reluctance to rally alongside oil. We keep watching the odds from polymarket as well as the shrinking probabilities of March Fed rate cut. See full video here.  

Click To Enlarge

Latest IMTs

• Nasdaq Beware
  by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 17, 2026 11:46
• Intraday Gold Fibonacci
  by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 16, 2026 13:19
• Updating GoldBugs Ratio
  by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 12, 2026 23:55
• 4 out of 4 Success Model
  by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 10, 2026 10:10
• Gold & Rate Hike Update
  by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 6, 2026 18:48