JPY Soars & Oil Drops

The current decline in oil prices has accelerated the decline in USDJPY as Japan is one of the world's biggest oil importers. Some oil charts are showing a potential for a double top. Those who missed the move in USDPY, should tread carefully. The pair broke below the 55 and 100 DMA in a single day to register its biggest percentage decline since December 2022 of more than 2.5% . DXY is down 0.8%, its fastest daily percentage decline since March 19. Shorting USDJPY at this point is risky as it is resting on the trendline support from the April 2025 low. Do not short USDJPY below155.80/80.

For US crude oil, however, currently trading at 104.15, the the next trendline support stands at $102.00, withe the potential of seeing a $101.30 print. Keep an eye on Brent oil, which is already resting on the trendline support (see chart) at $114.00. A close below $111.00, could become the driver of other energy prices and trigger a sub $100 in crude. 

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