Euro Net Spec Shorts Seen Followed by EURUSD Spot
Net speculative shorts in EUR vs USD have reached 85K contracts, their highest since mid June 2010 .... which is the worst of last years PIIGS crisis, coinciding with the bottom in EURUSD at 1.1870. With the Eurozone landscape deteriorating following 4 bailouts (2 for Greece, 1 for Portugal, 1 for Ireland) and the AAA rating of France and Germany on the verge of being re-considered (or downgraded), the arguments for further downside in EURUSD is bolstered further. For the Technically-versed readers, EURUSD remains a head-&-shoulder formation, with 1.29 seen re-emerging before mid Q1 2012. As hedge funds further unload EUR longs, while others re-enter fresh shorts, the EURUSD spot rate is expected to catch-up with surging net short-interest in EURUSD. None of these conditions are expected to stabilize the soaring swap costs of USD at Eurozone banks.
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