أشرف ألعايدي على قناة سي إن بي سي العربية -- 06 يونيو 2012
Jun 6, 2012 19:36
Ashraf tells CNBC Arabia that the latest downgrades of 7 German and Austrian banks may be merely a sign of partial exposure to faulty loans in Central and Eastern Europe, but the drag from Southern Europe on Germany remains a matter of concern. This is seen in all of Germany's surveys (investor, economic, consumer and industrial), all of which are at or nearing contraction territory. Much of these macro charts are looking increasingly similar to late 2007, early 2008.
The current bounce in risk appetite at the expense of USD is here to stay, but for how long? And will it be followed by a 100-pt consolidation until the next barrage of policy solutions? Click here for direct access to today's edition:http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/access/?a=644 Click here to subscribe: http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/
It is no surprise for risk appetite to rally in April. After all, April is the 2nd best month for US equity indices as an average of the past 25 years. The charts below show the next threshold resistance for risk appetite. Notably, US100 faces a confluence of 200-DMA and trendline resistance around 24380-24440. SPX faces its 200-DMA at 6644. Gold needs to save 4640s, while silver is capped at a wedge resistance at 74.00.
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