Ashraf Laidi on CNBC After Greece Elections - June 17, 2012
Jun 18, 2012 6:42
In a 2-part interview, Ashraf says why EURUSD is expected to extend its gains as part of the corrective bounce after Greece's New Democracy won nearly 30% of the votes and will lead a collation government which is likely to be made up of New Democracy and third-place Pasok.
Ashraf distinguishes outright QE vs. Operation Twist, highlights the shape of EUROIS spread, gauges EURUSD technical and distinguishing PIIGS & BRICs foundation.
The lack of any unfavourable event detracts attention of Central banks of worrying about: 1) delivering "liquidity" solutions (such as currency swaps) and places Greece back onto worrying about securing its 1bn tranche, which was withheld after May's inconclusive elections, and; 2) covering its 3.9 bn interest payment to the ECB due in August. DOES THIS MEAN we extend our RIsk-On Positioning? Find out our latest Premium Insights on EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPUSD, Gold, & Crude Oil. DIRECT ACCESS TO these trades is found here:http://ashraflaidi.com/ products/sub01/access/?a=647 NONsubscribers can join here:http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01
It is no surprise for risk appetite to rally in April. After all, April is the 2nd best month for US equity indices as an average of the past 25 years. The charts below show the next threshold resistance for risk appetite. Notably, US100 faces a confluence of 200-DMA and trendline resistance around 24380-24440. SPX faces its 200-DMA at 6644. Gold needs to save 4640s, while silver is capped at a wedge resistance at 74.00.
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