Ashraf explains the notion of debt mutualisation vs. Eurobonds, stating that the former uses Eurobonds to refinance all debt EXCEEDING 60% of GDP. Eurobonds proceeds would go into a Eurozone Redemption Fund. ursuing the path of Eurobonds via maturity extensions (up to 25 years) & preferential interest rates would require a loss of sovereignty.
Ashraf also talks about the increasingly adversarial opposition pursued by the Germans (to further backing the Southern nations) French (against loss of sovereignty) and Italians (insistence to obtain time for recent reforms).
Ashraf also mentions the metrics reflecting danger, such as Spain 10yr yields surpassing7.5%, Italian yields regaining 6.50-6.75% and their spreads with German 10 year yields nearing 5.0% from their current levels of 4.6%.
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It is no surprise for risk appetite to rally in April. After all, April is the 2nd best month for US equity indices as an average of the past 25 years. The charts below show the next threshold resistance for risk appetite. Notably, US100 faces a confluence of 200-DMA and trendline resistance around 24380-24440. SPX faces its 200-DMA at 6644. Gold needs to save 4640s, while silver is capped at a wedge resistance at 74.00.
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