Record highs in the stock market, 6-year highs in US consumer sentiment, the longest streak of +100K NFP in 12 years, 6-year lows in unemployment rate, 2-year highs in bond yields. With these dynamics at play, the Fed ought to scale down monthly asset purchases, by at least $10 bn this year (even if it is symbolic) to account for the change in fundamentals over the last 6 months (and not the last 6 weeks). Failure to do so, is serious lapse of credibility to Bernanke and doves at the Fed.
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USDJPY breaks above the 4-week trendline resistance to hit a 2-week high at 156.80 after Japan PM Takaichi appointed 2 dovish candidates to the 9-member policy board of the Bank of Japan. The candidates are professor Ayano Sato at Aoyama Gakuin University and professor Toichiro Asada of Chuo University. If they're confirmed, then these new members will likely provide material pushback to the BoJ's interest rate hike path, which could further weaken JPY vs major currencies. 2 days ago I reminded our WhatsApp Bdcst Group I was long USDJPY, targetting 156.40. The chart below suggests 157.70s could well be the next target.
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