The continued strengthening of the US dollar despite worsening US jobs and manufacturing activity, and broadening evidence of a sluggish China results from market realization that the Fed's shortened and sterilized QE (Operation Twist) deployed until year-end will be inadequate in addressing the unavoidable deterioration in global activity. As long as the presence of Operation Twist prevents any new QE program, equities rebounds should remain contained, commodities to probe further downside (led by oil until grains turnaround) -- all alongside a rising USD. Throughout, gold and silver compete for which is the preferred dead-cat bounce.
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EURGBP & Bank of England
Today's weaker than expected UK CPI sharply boosted EURGBP and dragged down GBPUSD on improved expectations the BoE will cut rates tomorrow (Thursday).
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Uncertain December
The oscillating changes in market expectations for the December FOMC meeting implies more volatility into the next 4 weeks.
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