The continued strengthening of the US dollar despite worsening US jobs and manufacturing activity, and broadening evidence of a sluggish China results from market realization that the Fed's shortened and sterilized QE (Operation Twist) deployed until year-end will be inadequate in addressing the unavoidable deterioration in global activity. As long as the presence of Operation Twist prevents any new QE program, equities rebounds should remain contained, commodities to probe further downside (led by oil until grains turnaround) -- all alongside a rising USD. Throughout, gold and silver compete for which is the preferred dead-cat bounce.
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Can you guess the charts below? Both charts represent the same market but at different time horizons. Will the top chart finally break above the channel? Does the bottom chart show another bounce off the channel support and continue to rally? How do both charts relate to each other? I will give the answer in the next post. Be careful with metals trading. Last night's silver crash was mainly prompted by coordinated dumping of 674 million oz of silver in the Shanghai Futures Exchange. The Exchange is said to have halted it and fundamentals remain largely unchanged. Everyone askes "what happened to the sikver shortage??". Nothing ! it's been around for 2 years and is here to stay. Highly leveraged markets usually undergo violent dislocations. Do you remember what happened to gold (the father of all safe havens) when it crashed 15% in a single week during "Covid March 2020"? Forced selling triggered it. Now, tell me what are those mystery charts.
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Latest Hot-Chart - Feb 05
Mystery Charts
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Understanding US Dollar 2018 2019
I created this chart in December 2024, pointing to the importance of understanding some of the fundamental events shaping USD Index between 2018 and 2019. Why 2018 and 2019.
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