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  • Intraday Market Thought: Oil Metrics & Gold Risks

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 6, 2026 20:39
    Here's a 120 min video on extensions of Crude oil metrics and the risks to....Watch here.

  • Intraday Market Thought: Bitcoin Gold DowJones

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 3, 2026 20:51
    Bitcoin Gold DowJones Chart Here are the most correlated years to 2026 in gold, DowJones and....Watch here...nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Silver Confluence

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 11, 2026 10:47
    Take a look at the message from Silver's daily and weekly charts...Does this mean $60/oz is inevitable?..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Gold Keeps H&S Pattern الذهب يحافظ على نموذجه

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 21, 2024 20:20
    Gold Keeps H&S Pattern الذهب يحافظ على نموذجه Chart كيف مفاجآة مؤشر البي أم آي أسرعت هبوط الذهب و أين تنتهي صلاحية نموذج الكتفين و....Strong PMI accelerated Gold's pullback & what's needed from..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Mystery Chart & Coordinated Silver Attack

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 6, 2026 10:52
    Mystery Chart & Coordinated Silver Attack Chart Can you guess the charts below? Both charts represent the same market but at....Will the top chart finally break above the channel? Does the bottom chart show....nbsp; Be careful with metals trading...Last night's silver crash was mainly prompted by coordinated dumping of 674....The Exchange is said to have halted it and fundamentals remain largely....Everyone askes "what happened to the sikver shortage??"....Nothing ! it's been around for 2 years and is here to stay...Highly leveraged markets usually undergo violent dislocations...Do you remember what happened to gold (the father of all safe havens) when it....Now, tell me what are those mystery charts...nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Trade Already in Profit

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 17, 2026 18:16
    If you missed yesterday's Live broadcast on Instagram explaining the....The trade is already in the money after this morning's UK data...But more data are due tomorrow and Friday...The dynamics, covered in English and in Arabic are found nowherelse on the....This is not only a journey of learning into unprecedented material, but also a....nbsp; Watch here...Start now.

  • Intraday Market Thought: 10 Pct Limit

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 31, 2026 14:23
    10 Pct Limit Chart The S&P500 index, the most widely followed index in the world (in terms of....Major markets such as S&P500, EURUSD, XAUUSD, oil etc are widely scrutinized....At these points, algos and automated buy programs are alerted and even triggered...Similar action when these markets reach high profile moving averages such as 55,....nbsp; In today's case, today's SPX 10% decline coincides with the 55-....Note in the drawdown charts below, what happened when SPX drawdown reached the....The most likely scenario (according to multi-year cycle averages), indices will....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: The Nvidia Reversal

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 20, 2026 19:47
    The Nvidia Reversal Chart Nvidia earnings are due today after the closing bell...Research from Bloomberg (see chart below) indicates that gains or losses seen in....nbsp;With earnings guidance already elevated and stock up 30% off the March....Will the S&P500 bounce be sold the next day? Bloomberg highlights the....There's also the possibility of rising input/energy costs...Also, is the S&P500 or Nasdaq100 showing a right shoulder top near 7450..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Savings Watch from Central Banks

    by Adam Button | Jan 21, 2021 23:47
    Savings Watch from Central Banks Chart USD weakness extended anew as the ECB leaned towards guarded optimism in....ECB policy makers continue to be more pre-occupied with the deflationary....Earlier this week, policy makers at the BOE and BoC highlighted that the fate of....On Wednesday, Ashraf posted the below chart to the WhatsApp Broadcast Group,....Stay alert...nbsp;....The combination of stay-at-home orders and government handouts has left many....In normal times, you would expect that to lead to a boom in consumer spending....Surely there will be some celebrating when it's all over and travel will....It's possible the pandemic leaves consumers more cautious but it's....Where exactly that level of spending falls was highlighted as the key post-....It's still far too early but in a few months, we will start to closely....Another spot to watch closely will be Israel, which is on track to be the....How consumers behave there will be a strong clue on what's coming....Lagging behind in the recovery will be the eurozone, in part due to a slow....The statement from the central bank was essentially unchanged and Lagarde....She also offered jawboning by saying the rising euro is a drag on inflation...The press conference helped to stall the euro's rally but the scope for....The next big question will be who tapers first.

  • Intraday Market Thought: Powell's Challenge

    by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 13, 2023 12:55
    Powell's Challenge Chart At today's FOMC decision, Fed chair Powell's primary intention and....Powell's ability to convince markets will primarily depend on the interplay....nbsp;....New vs September DotPlot for 2024 ....The current median of Fed members' FedFunds expectations issued in....1%, meaning policymakers were pricing about one rate cut for 2024...Today's meeting is expected by economists and strategists not the....9%, meaning two rate cuts of 25-bps by end of 2024...nbsp; Again, the market (fed funds futures) are currently pricing between....nbsp;What to Watch....The initial market reaction at 2:00 pm Eastern (7pm GMT, 11 pm Dubai) will....Anything between 4...8% and 5...0% (two rate cuts) is expected by the consensus of strategists and economists....Anything between 4...6% and 4...7% (three to four rate cuts) would be deemed dovish, particularly dovish....6%....nbsp;....Subsequent market reaction will shift to SEPs on growth and inflation, with each....Once again, Powell's challenge will be to push back against aggressive....nbsp;....About the Above Chart...The chart above shows the non-surprising relationship between the probability of....The current -0...45% -- indicating a 45% chance of a 25-bp cut-- is much less than the 75%....Watching the real-time development of this probability pricing will be crucial....nbsp;....Another thing (not on the chart) is that Bitcoin also peaked at the bottom of....nbsp;....Good luck to eveyone, and dont forget Thursday's BoE decision, especially....Once that's done, we move to the unimportant ECB decision before next....nbsp;....nbsp;..
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