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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 2338
Forum Topic:

USD

Discuss USD
 
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
14 years ago
Sep 21, 2010 22:34
i don't think EUR is overvalued, today's auction is clearly say that.

china may take some action, but they also said by allowing chinese people invest in foreign country to avoid bubbles (20/09), and still have more room for inflation (17/09).
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 21, 2010 21:14
"The Federal Reserve said it still is prepared to take action if necessary to support economy but it announced no new policies and kept rates near zero"
well what else could FED have stated?
It is not prepared to take action?
I think we'll see some big surprises this week especially with EUR it is way overvalued
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Sep 21, 2010 20:51
FOR ARABIC SPEAKERS, here is my interview eaerlier today on FOMC, USD, COMMODITIES on ARABIYA TV.
http://youtu.be/QQKFf_uRavs

Ashraf
djellal
Switzerland
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 21, 2010 18:35

My outlook is for no change in policy or stance; but what will that do to the dollar?

if this is the case i think USD could bounce four few days against EURO which could reach 1.2800 dispite today irish auction, because usd fell last week on more QE speculation. (short term outlook)

After that I think that big players will drill FEd for more QE next month, and we ll see USD decline gradually. (long term outlook)

djellal
Switzerland
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 21, 2010 0:34
For those who understand french

China/Africa/America latina (winners) Vs USA/Europe (losers)
http://www.michelcollon.info/Ocean-Indien-ici-se-joue-la-grande.html

Its time to put our money in south
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Sep 20, 2010 23:29
Seif, nobody is expecting QE. But not sure about a "Huge"push higherin $USDX. As i said in my IMT, only if Eurozone auctions turn out badly and stocks fall, then a decision to not QE will limited USD gains.

Ashraf
Seif
Cairo, Egypt
Posts: 53
14 years ago
Sep 20, 2010 23:19
UBS is forecasting: NO QE will be mentioned tomorow
i feel a huge push higher for the dollar if no QE
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 20, 2010 14:44
The Federal Reserve will cut its growth forecasts and Europes economic bailout is failing, said Mohamed A. El-Erian, chief executive at Pacific Investment Management Co., which runs the worlds biggest bond fund.

However PIMCO does not expect FED to mention QE tomorrow.

This could become trader's paradise. Some commodity gurus have already recommended to short evry industry metal also gold silver, and crude .
Whle USd will rally CAD may plunge not clear about JPY but possibly rally, too.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Sep 19, 2010 23:44
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 19, 2010 21:32
doesn't quite match any topic here but very interesting Guest Post: Sketching Outlines Of Predictability on Zerohedge.
As a mathematician I would almost automatically understand "backtesting" that any method of determinating next prices must also determinate previous prices . I don't think any technical analyst has ever checked his respective method in such a manner.
Of course the cited theorem is just trivial and it is also trivial that topological entropy must be zero for predictability.
It is only natural traders aren't that much interested in determination of prices of the past
but if they were to test their analysis methods with such a backtest , well , they might find coin flipping more reliable. Thus it is appreciated when Ashraf reminds of fundamentals.