Gold remained lower last week amidst the Euro strengthening as investors continued to cur their positions in Euro-gold. Moreover, lowering inflationary concerns in the US also reduced golds inflation hedge demand. Gold tracked losses in other assets after a drop in consumer sentiment index and falling TIC flows battered equities which resulted in the benchmark MSCI world index for stocks closing more than 2%.
-When the Dow fell below the 200-day moving average; -After the Dow closed above the 50-day moving average -When the Dow hit a new low for the year. -The break below the June 8 low of 9757 (confirming a head-and-shoulders pattern)
A snapshot of borrowing in major sectors expected to take place over the next three years or so. Experts worry that the amounts are so large it could leave the weakest borrowers, including some governments, without access to funds, possibly triggering another economic downturn.
FOMC tweaks lower growth and inflation outlook by Peter Boockvar
Within the minutes of the June FOMC meeting where they reviewed the economic stats seen since the prior meeting, they believed looking forward that the recovery in economic activity would be moderate thru 2011, supported by accommodative monetary policy, an attenuation of financial stress, and strengthening consumer and business confidence. They did say that the pace of recovery will be somewhat slower than previously predicted and they also reduced their expectations for both headline and core inflation slightly. Some members wanted to consider whether further policy stimulus might become appropriate if the outlook were to worsen appreciably. In terms of helping the economy, I believe their gun is out of real bullets and all they got left is water. They have reached the law of diminishing returns and Fed impotence is a growing risk
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Intraday Market Thoughts
2010.09.03: RALLYING LOONIE accumulates gains post-US jobs, amid positive impact on Canadas economy from stabilizing US dynamics, and the rationale based on the fact that Canadas overnight rate remains below 1% and faces higher upside than any of the commodity
2010.09.03: MARKETS CHEER AUG US JOBS REPORT as payrolls fall by smaller than expected 54K and the unemp rate rises to 9.6%. More striking is the July figure was revised down to -54K from -131K, while the private payrolls rose by 67K vs exp 41K following 107K
2010.09.03: Ashraf's Video for Reuters Thomson illustrating the similarities of the interest rate cycles between the Fed and the Bank of England and QE2 by the Fed will lead to the same by the BoE http://bit.ly/ 9VAefQ