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Posts by "ajp03002"

5 Posts by Anonymous "ajp03002":
   
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ajp03002
United States
Posted Anonymously
16 years ago
Sep 28, 2008 7:40
In Thread: Fed Cut May Come Before Oct 29
except*
ajp03002
United States
Posted Anonymously
16 years ago
Sep 28, 2008 7:13
In Thread: Fed Cut May Come Before Oct 29
Hey ashraf,

I expect this bailout (whenever its passed) to have an inflationary,optimistic reaction in the equity markets, however, i don't know, expect for JPY, how high yielding currencies will react to this news. I would be a dollar bear, however, will the "carry traders" that unwound the last two months will try to reestablish themselves with more yen carry trades?
ajp03002
United States
Posted Anonymously
16 years ago
Sep 26, 2008 23:17
In Thread: Fed Cut May Come Before Oct 29
The reciprocal currency arrangements with the European Central Bank, and the central banks of Switzerland, England, Canada, Japan, Australia, Denmark and Sweden now totals $290 billion. Who needs more easing? I believe interest rates cuts are too big of a psychological weapon to be used currently. Only if the bailout plans fail or carry trades unwind to extreme levels, maybe then.

Other notes: Is AUD/JPY forming an ascending triangle pattern on an uptrend move?
ajp03002
United States
Posted Anonymously
16 years ago
Sep 24, 2008 9:22
In Thread: A Super Tuesday for the Dollar ?
Totally clueless action, as if big movers don't care about the IFO but rather swing all over the place. Why have the fx markets been too volatile recently? Wasn't like this before.
ajp03002
United States
Posted Anonymously
16 years ago
Sep 23, 2008 23:20
In Thread: A Super Tuesday for the Dollar ?
What are the implications of a negative view of European Banks for a longer term forex trade (from Centre of European Policy Studies) weighting a possibly eurozone slowdown with a "maybe" better than expected report at 4 am est (IFO survey)

CME volume have shown greater buying interest for EUR futures recently, therefore, is it better to take the Centre of E..'s reports lightly for the short term. http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2008/09/22/european-banks-too-big-to-rescue/

Another topic:

Since Japan had a holiday yesterday, is it possible for the USD/JPY to slide early asian session as further liquidations happen? or will the eventual congress-fed deal keep negative equity markets' influence on USD/JPY light.
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