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Posts by "cat0nip"

1999 Posts Total by "cat0nip":
1927 Posts by member
cat0nip
(Frankfurt, Germany)
72 Posts by Anonymous "cat0nip":
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 31, 2011 21:39
In Thread: EUR
USDx jumped 25 bp exactly at NY close ( coincides with a high volume last minute selloff in DJIA stocks) .... EUR and JPY unaffected thus EURUSD fell exactly with USDx raise USDJPY rose accordingly AUDUSD fell accordingly... thats strange USD sold vs USD ? New Dr.Ben's trick?
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 31, 2011 16:15
In Thread: EUR
mex peso qualifies as world reserve currency.... yes I agree.
I continue to buy NOK.
It is certainly not default if Portugal is bailed out and not default of Spanish cajas are bailed out by Spain govt and if Spain govt is bailed out by EFSF . All this is VERY bullish for a series of rate hikes. No matter what happens it is bullish.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 31, 2011 15:12
In Thread: EUR
mass selloff in PIGS bonds . Fear of big haircuts luckily I am short in all Ezone bankrupt banks... Ireland Portugal Spain Germany.
however BoJ pumped around JPY 700 bln after March 18... if that isn't enough good bye USD
Euro as reserve currency...or better Russian ruble? Or russian ruble and China Yuan combined?

cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 31, 2011 13:06
In Thread: EUR
a modest rate hike seems a sure thing however the PIIGS are definitely not performing economies. Ireland Portugal Greece are insolvent and Spain's backbone, the cajas are out of cash... dunno how more than one hike could save what?

cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 31, 2011 11:44
USD and JPY strength move exactly in parallel thus both weaken equally . Tried a short at 89.91
with sl 90
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 31, 2011 7:38
All this optimism just to save the USD to prevent Japan from selling UST .
However as spontaneous fission occurs , that means that far more energy is released than by just radioactive decay and that chain reaction can restart. Thus a concrete tomb has little to no
probability of withstanding longer than a couple of days.
All optimism that Japan economy can recover in a year is unfounded. I see major impacts on
Asia, especialy China economy. There is hardly anything made in China , Malaysia, Indonesia,
and so on that has no crucial devices made in Japan.


cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 28, 2011 18:56
Gaddafi could be forced to sell some tons of gold.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 28, 2011 11:44
Dave0
do you think the USDJPY "flash crash" is a demonstration of a healthy fx market?
I think it's just the opposite. That was the end of position trading at least for me.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 28, 2011 11:21
AUDUSD limit sell 1,031 hit short trade runs with sl @ entry
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 27, 2011 18:56
No need to find anything. I or rather the system works with strength differences. But I get out with 20 pips. Know what really happened when USDJPY fell from 81 to 76 in a couple of minutes?
Yes that was liquidity crunch. It will happen again. I happened to be on the short but that was pure chance. Next time I may be on the wrong side when crunch hits the fan.