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Posts by "cat0nip"

1999 Posts Total by "cat0nip":
1927 Posts by member
cat0nip
(Frankfurt, Germany)
72 Posts by Anonymous "cat0nip":
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 31, 2011 13:06
In Thread: EUR
a modest rate hike seems a sure thing however the PIIGS are definitely not performing economies. Ireland Portugal Greece are insolvent and Spain's backbone, the cajas are out of cash... dunno how more than one hike could save what?

cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 31, 2011 11:44
USD and JPY strength move exactly in parallel thus both weaken equally . Tried a short at 89.91
with sl 90
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 31, 2011 7:38
All this optimism just to save the USD to prevent Japan from selling UST .
However as spontaneous fission occurs , that means that far more energy is released than by just radioactive decay and that chain reaction can restart. Thus a concrete tomb has little to no
probability of withstanding longer than a couple of days.
All optimism that Japan economy can recover in a year is unfounded. I see major impacts on
Asia, especialy China economy. There is hardly anything made in China , Malaysia, Indonesia,
and so on that has no crucial devices made in Japan.


cat0nip
Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 29, 2011 8:47
New evidence has emerged that the Iranian government sees the current unrest in the Middle East as a signal that the Mahdi--or Islamic messiah--is about to appear.

CBN News has obtained a never-before-seen video produced by the Iranian regime that says all the signs are moving into place -- and that Iran will soon help usher in the end times.

While the revolutionary movements gripping the Middle East have created uncertainty throughout the region, the video shows that the Iranian regime believes the chaos is divine proof that their ultimate victory is at hand.

I'll stay with my prediction Libya is not a done deal . Mad men always ruled the world now it is very mad men.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 28, 2011 18:56
Gaddafi could be forced to sell some tons of gold.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 28, 2011 11:44
Dave0
do you think the USDJPY "flash crash" is a demonstration of a healthy fx market?
I think it's just the opposite. That was the end of position trading at least for me.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 28, 2011 11:21
AUDUSD limit sell 1,031 hit short trade runs with sl @ entry
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 27, 2011 18:56
No need to find anything. I or rather the system works with strength differences. But I get out with 20 pips. Know what really happened when USDJPY fell from 81 to 76 in a couple of minutes?
Yes that was liquidity crunch. It will happen again. I happened to be on the short but that was pure chance. Next time I may be on the wrong side when crunch hits the fan.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 27, 2011 13:07
Consistency means also 3 years of losses in a row. It is a proof that the market model is wrong.
As for now, as CBs after the japan earthquake have provided 1 trn (!!) of liquidity, every market model that had 50% hit rate in the past, will continue to have 50% hit rate. But models with hit rate of 60% ( or 66%, the exact theoretical maximum of chart astrology) will now drop below 50%.
The only way to trade is now high frequency pip hunting. Do not expect an average hit rate of more than51%.

cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Mar 25, 2011 8:59
In Thread: EUR
doubts raise wether Merkelism can quell the precarious situation of ( for the time being) Portugal. Euro could collapse any time.