good question apparently S&P tracks EPS but EPS can be easily prepped up ...see China...just like banks stress test...so what is the economy model? Dunno...Best approach the value at risk of credit...credit has not much to do with economy
No...systems theory has the object "structure" and complexity is a measure of structure properties. The trick Sornette uses is that structure is the totality of relations which are invariant to a class of transformations. So instability arises with transformation to which the structure total market is not invariant. Simple isn't it?
Even top level mathematicians have big difficulties.... the topic is called "multifractal analysis" but this doesn't explain anything, either. However I think one can understand the idea behind it what causes instability and how to realize the market is instable. Huge profits possible...
United Kingdom Independence Party going strong. Cameron's recent Merkel huggin' and his address when Queene Merkel gives us the honor of Her graceful visit all of us must be proud of right side traffic did ring a bell but not the one Cameron envisioned.
In a recent essay Mauldin mentions Sornette's book Why markets crash. Sornette is to my knowledge the only physicist who applies systems theory to geophysics ( earthquakes, for example) and thus no physicist understand his work. But for financial markets systems theory is the only applicable. Highly recommended although the cover is misleading: systems theory is just not chaos theory.
I do, either. Especially Draghi's "goal" of equalisation of rates of industrial banks to boost medium biz across Eurozone causes suspicion. These rates do not depend on Draghi but on LIBOR. However a 25 bps cut is fully priced in sov bonds and stocks, so if no cut short stocks and bonds will yield good profit.
Italy's Prime Enrico Letta will now form government. Talks with Berlusconi successful. Don't think that will boost EUR but may have influence on Italy sov bonds and MIB index.
based. With the recently renewed ISDA "scandal" a question arises: how is it that real time prices are free of charge and real time credit ( CDS) data are very expensive and even more expensive access to rate swap data? Could it be the central banks don't have a choice but to run the devaluation race?
Try publishing this in the UK weekend papers: Traders bet BankofEngland will raise rates to 6.25% --highest since 1… https://t.co/GWXrTEAk4R(10 months ago)
Poor start to a slow market day as Ezone PMIs disappoint. Im still keeping an eye on the rare (-2%) USD-GOLD combo,… https://t.co/UyRzWsRbs7(10 months ago)
-5% YTD is not good, while -7% from the year highs can be tough. Gold traders have their eyes fixated on this for n… https://t.co/NV5UMKsfNo(10 months ago)
ما وراء هبوط الدولار مع الذهب و من منهما يتمكن الارتداد؟
موعدنا الآن في غرفة شركة إكس أم لجلسة الأسواق
https://t.co/Y7tD0RxCS2
@XM_COM (10 months ago)
Jobless claims > 300k before next FOMC meeting would be ideal for Fed to make up for any CPI upside surprise (10 months ago)
"Cook & Eat at Home" scheme may come next to defeat UK inflation... (10 months ago)
Earlier in the week gold selloff was attributed to smaller than exp China EASING. Metal is now holding v well despi… https://t.co/ZW9cmXTPWW(10 months ago)
How bitcoin halvingreduces bitcoin inflation below that of gold and how its "hardness" can beat every other asset & currency over time. Watch here.
كيف تنخفض نسبة التضخم في بيتكوين تحت نسبة تضخم الذهب و ما يعني "صلابة" بيتكوين كعملة او إرادة؟
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Bitcoin versus Miners Performance
As many of you know 2023 was kind to members of our WhatsApp Broadcast Group who snapped up shares in bitcoin miners, while 2024 has so far been more superior to Bitcoin than most of the miners...
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credit...credit has not much to do with economy
structure is the totality of relations which are invariant to a class of transformations. So instability arises with transformation to which the structure total market is not invariant.
Simple isn't it?
the topic is called "multifractal analysis" but this doesn't explain anything, either. However I think one can understand the idea behind it what causes instability and how to realize the market is instable. Huge profits possible...
In a recent essay Mauldin mentions Sornette's book Why markets crash. Sornette is to my knowledge the only physicist who applies systems theory to geophysics ( earthquakes, for example) and thus no physicist understand his work. But for financial markets systems theory is the only applicable.
Highly recommended although the cover is misleading: systems theory is just not chaos theory.
in other words 5 banks control politics and central banks with the
derivative swaps bomb
of industrial banks to boost medium biz across Eurozone causes
suspicion. These rates do not depend on Draghi but on LIBOR. However a 25 bps cut is fully priced in sov bonds and stocks, so if no cut short stocks and bonds will yield good profit.
Berlusconi successful.
Don't think that will boost EUR but may have influence on Italy sov bonds and MIB index.
With the recently renewed ISDA "scandal" a question arises:
how is it that real time prices are free of charge and real time credit ( CDS) data are very expensive and even more expensive access to rate swap data?
Could it be the central banks don't have a choice but to run the devaluation race?