Posts by "georgebensonoldgrey"

the more printing the more inflation creation but there is a but; if growth isn't present at 2013 then we can see deflation of us dollars on an abrupt way. the money printing is expected with global growth meanwhile the fed inject liquidity all across the globe and all across assets that make the prices going higher versus their counterpart in us dollars. we pass from 800 billions to 2.8 trillion in monetary liquidity in four years and it will come a time when the system will have to drain this liquidity from the system. if growth is not here and yield keeps on rising then we see the foreign holding of treasury losing value and thus fed will have to act during this storm by injecting liquidity in treasury then QE4.
if groth is present then yield will keep on rising and at this time one has to understand that Bernanke has stated that until 2015 he will not raised interestrate but doesnt opt out a raise in between at my opinion. this the two swords KENDO application by holding the adversary with the long and striking with the small.
when yield will begin to attain hte 3.25 percent with low interest rate then institution that borrowed at .5% will invest in their own yielding asset and prompting a raoatriation of money flow toward the usa. The Sovereign have already poured money in the american system compared to an outflow from Europe and that shows that some operation and big annoucement are underway in 2013.

like stated last weekend the yield rose and yes daveo the 2% will be attained any time soon.
Since the decision of going long the end curve of the treasury at 30 years , government institution that have access to the fed's window have earned billions. 50 basispoint on the 30 year long treasury.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7U2ModhhI9k

90.65 represneting 61 percent retracement for CL november , actual 90.9, playing support for a rebound or a retake of the market. below 90.65 would mean the retest of 89.9

a wedge in formations over the next weeks months on us treasuries yield.
and or already formed waiting for hte ascending pattern to take form.

some taking profit till 91.650/550

you must go further to catch all hte essence of this move up from the june low, ie, from the 4th of october 2011 on 2 hours chart or five minutes chart and when you see a 5impulsives for the first wave then you wonder what is this move pattern.