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Posts by "raulin"
70 Posts Total by "raulin":
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Posts by Anonymous "raulin":
I never base trades based on a 50% probability that is the probability you get from tossing a coin I like 80% at least. 50% is what you get from shorting sterling in the middle of a range.
When people analyse euro they think of old deutschmark and Germany strength they never think of its weak members Spain,Ireland, Italy , Greece. These countries are in far worse condition than US.
Do you not think that positive news about Japan GDP will be positive for Japan equities positive for aussie/jpy and negative for JPY ? The only reason to buy the low yielding yen is in a risk averse environment. I do agree with you about usd/jpy looking bearish overall especially stalling at 97
d calls and you seem to love your job! With regard to U/J I think that u/j has more upside potential, however, first to 96.50 and then to 97.20. The stock markets have not plummeted with oil depreciating which tells me that there is a still a lot of risk appetite. This of course may be tempered by negative data but markets are irrational. We all know how frustrating it is to enter New York market when they reverse everything that has happened before in european market. I think in these markets the best thing to trade with is open mind and use regression to the mean!