USDCAD goes from 1.0070 to 1.0135 1-Hr resistance, and now back to 1.01 area. Seems like the downward pressure and stops were blown during the move to 1.0070 yesterday, so most likely short squeezing back up to 1.0165 if equities & oil fall today.
Looks like the big players are desperately trying to "shape" the daily close candles on some currency pairs, and also the S&P by forcing weak squeezes. Watch how USDCAD came roaring back down to close where it did.. also Oil, with little news yet. I cant imagine the smart money is buying risk right now. Ashraf hope you are right and the top gets blown on this silly rise in equities with China raising rates tomorrow.
Ashraf, I'm a recent finance MBA (univ of toronto) and still figuring out the forex markets. Your book is a great read. I have a question about how one deciphers cross pairs like EURCAD or GBPAUD. It seems these pairs dont "respect" supports and fib-levels (low liquidity?), but the market just uses them to add "extra fire" to moves, say lower in USDCAD or higher in AUDUSD, by squeezing the EURCAD or GBPAUD longs out further and further. my question is how can one even be comfortable in the technicals of these (non JPY) cross pairs when they dont quite account for much? or do they?
AUD behaves more rationally with gains and decent losses as risk goes on/off, plus it has many times the yield as CAD. CAD on the other hand only strengthens with risk and doesn't give up anything which is highly manipulative. CIBC world markets notes that 2 yrs back when CAD was at these levels oil/commodities were way higher, so CAD seems to be getting way ahead of itself. Guess the only rational thing for us canadians to do is to keep shopping across the border given that we are so far away from PPP, bring down canadian retail sales figures (we probably wont see that soon with the olympic spending), and then the market will respond!! Of course the big sharks in the mean time want to run through all the stops before reversing!!
I agree.. AUD/NZD seems to be peaking..... better to Short AUDUSD, and hedge with Long NZDUSD??, note since value of 1 contract in AUDUSD is smaller than NZDUSD, it is not exactly same as shorting AUDNZD, and probably you get more net gains from movements if AUDUSD is going down.??
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ما وراء هبوط الدولار مع الذهب و من منهما يتمكن الارتداد؟
موعدنا الآن في غرفة شركة إكس أم لجلسة الأسواق
https://t.co/Y7tD0RxCS2
@XM_COM (11 months ago)
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إستعمال تحليل الإنترماركت والتحليل الفني الكلاسيكي لتداول الذهب و الناسداك و السندات. شاهد هنا
Using intermarket technicals analysis to trade XAUUSD Nasdaq100 and Bonds.Watch here.
Latest Hot-Chart - May 16
Dax 200 DMA Deviation
You remember we went short Dax40 in late March based on the 13% 200 DMA extension, which gave us at least a 500-pt gain.
View Hot-Chart..
I cant imagine the smart money is buying risk right now. Ashraf hope you are right and the top gets blown on this silly rise in equities with China raising rates tomorrow.
I'm a recent finance MBA (univ of toronto) and still figuring out the forex markets. Your book is a great read. I have a question about how one deciphers cross pairs like EURCAD or GBPAUD. It seems these pairs dont "respect" supports and fib-levels (low liquidity?), but the market just uses them to add "extra fire" to moves, say lower in USDCAD or higher in AUDUSD, by squeezing the EURCAD or GBPAUD longs out further and further.
my question is how can one even be comfortable in the technicals of these (non JPY) cross pairs when they dont quite account for much? or do they?
CIBC world markets notes that 2 yrs back when CAD was at these levels oil/commodities were way higher, so CAD seems to be getting way ahead of itself.
Guess the only rational thing for us canadians to do is to keep shopping across the border given that we are so far away from PPP, bring down canadian retail sales figures (we probably wont see that soon with the olympic spending), and then the market will respond!! Of course the big sharks in the mean time want to run through all the stops before reversing!!