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Posts by "rob"

366 Posts Total by "rob":
333 Posts by member
Rob
(New York, United States)
33 Posts by Anonymous "rob":
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 30, 2009 1:24
Hi Ashraf,

Thanks for taking the time to do the 55-minute webinar. Very helpful! About the EUR/USD-Oil ratio. If it retraces to the -15% lows like the last two cycles, where would that put the rate for EUR/USD, or is that too difficult to say. ALSO - it looks like in the last two cycles, the 1st was about 1+1/2 months and the 2nd was about 2+1/2 months. Would it be reasonable to say that this next one might then hit the -15% at about mid-late December - assuming it does. Thanks again for your time and work.
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 26, 2009 0:33
Ashraf - to add to Conan the Contrarian's comment - if the SNB does intervene, would the CHF rise against all currencies? Or have they targeted their efforts against specific ones at specific times.
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 25, 2009 17:30
Hi Ashraf,

Not the most exciting question, but here goes anyway. The dynamics of EUR/CHF?? I really can't figure them out. I would think that it would go up with risk appetite, but it seems to go down. Am I missing something? Is it that people pull money out of EUR/USD and then put it into EUR/CHF with falling appetite? And vice versa with rising appetite. I would just suspect the low-yielding CHF to down with rising appetite. I know it's not something to be concerned with, considering the SNB's key levels. Anyhow thought I'd ask.
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 24, 2009 22:28
New Pip - great - it's a good one!
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 24, 2009 20:53
Thanks Ashraf, and very nice Nikkei/Dow analysis!
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 24, 2009 17:22
Hi Ashraf,

Any thoughts on EUR/GBP - despite what King said, there is gravestone doji in the daily chart. I prefer going long - at least back to .9040 but was wondering your opinion. This one seems tough at times, as I feel it should rally upwards, but risk aversion seems to prevent it from doing that. Thanks!
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 19, 2009 18:57
Ashraf - I'm hosting a FX/Intermarket comedy show and you'd better be there! See twitter everyone!
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 17, 2009 15:17
Hi Ashraf,

Do you think the BoE minutes tomorrow will have any effect on FX- whether GBP/USD, GBP/JPY, or EUR/GBP - thanks for your help - and for this mornings tweets/targets.
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 12, 2009 18:10
In Thread: EURGBP & EURNZD
Hi Ashraf,

Just saw your video market analysis - I see what you mean about Asia "smelling" funny. Now with risk aversion here and the expectation of stocks to decline along with EUR and Oil, how do you see EUR/GBP? Obviously this chart was put up right after King's comments - and I saw that you expect 0.95 in Q1 2010...

Shouldn't this pair drop rather easily? At least in the near-term. Maybe German GDP can prop it, but I can't see what else.
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 12, 2009 14:22
Hi Ashraf,

Your analysis on central bank comments has proven accurate in the past, esp. with the FOMC - any thoughts if Trichet will jawbone a bit and send EUR down? Disregard this if you feel it means I'm asking you to be psychic - ha Thanks