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Posts by "rob"

366 Posts Total by "rob":
333 Posts by member
Rob
(New York, United States)
33 Posts by Anonymous "rob":
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 17, 2009 15:17
Hi Ashraf,

Do you think the BoE minutes tomorrow will have any effect on FX- whether GBP/USD, GBP/JPY, or EUR/GBP - thanks for your help - and for this mornings tweets/targets.
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 12, 2009 18:10
In Thread: EURGBP & EURNZD
Hi Ashraf,

Just saw your video market analysis - I see what you mean about Asia "smelling" funny. Now with risk aversion here and the expectation of stocks to decline along with EUR and Oil, how do you see EUR/GBP? Obviously this chart was put up right after King's comments - and I saw that you expect 0.95 in Q1 2010...

Shouldn't this pair drop rather easily? At least in the near-term. Maybe German GDP can prop it, but I can't see what else.
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 12, 2009 14:22
Hi Ashraf,

Your analysis on central bank comments has proven accurate in the past, esp. with the FOMC - any thoughts if Trichet will jawbone a bit and send EUR down? Disregard this if you feel it means I'm asking you to be psychic - ha Thanks
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 11, 2009 17:44
You read my mind about NZD/USD for today - also as you probably know - and hopefully the other readers
NZ Central Bank Governor said the following:

- The rise in the New Zealand dollar over recent months could hinder continued improvement in the external balance, Bollard said in a semi-annual report on the nations financial system. The currencys current level is unlikely to be sustainable, he said.
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 11, 2009 17:21
Thanks a bunch and I'll re-enter at .9030 or .9015

And by the way, I'm going to presume Giethner's comments about a strong USD will bear no weight whatsoever; unless of course you mention otherwise.
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 11, 2009 16:21
What did you eat for breakfast today Ashraf? - you're always on, but today you're ON - thanks for all the tweets and IMT's - I like this EUR/GBP pair - any thoughts on a re-entry after the .9070 target is hit, and possibly long-term prospects - do you think .9500 by year-end is viable? Thanks
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 11, 2009 1:47
Hey Ashraf,

Not to change the topic of your article, but would you say that the weekly downtrend is actually intact. I remember this from several hot-charts ago.

CAD rallied incredibly today, with no good reason I can see. I'm trying to discern if this gain in CAD against EUR is due to CAD's strength, because it doesn't seem to be against EUR weakness, at least when compared to USD. Then again, if EUR weakens further against the USD, I suppose CAD could also leading to a rise in EUR/CAD.

Am I trying to make sense out of a senseless pair, or just picking a complicated one? Hmmm, now that I look again, it seems that the lows are getting higher in this pair. Thanks again for your valuable and generous time.
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 11, 2009 0:53
Great article Ashraf. So the recent pullbacks that propped the USD for about a week saw it perform best against the AUD. Do you think this will be the same going forward.

Also, you didn't mention targets for AUD/JPY - do you feel it's best to buy JPY against the 3 you mentioned, or would you say that AUD/JPY may fall hardest because of the high-yielding AUD?

Lastly, do you see the USD recovering whatsoever in the near-term until the end of the year? Would you simply say that it all depends on if we get an equity pullback?

Thanks for your help and time!
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 6, 2009 15:53
Hey Ashraf,

Thanks for all your great tweets today! You're generosity is never overlooked.

Do you have any thoughts about dollar rhetoric coming out of the G20 this weekend? Seems to be a non-issue right now, and if it was, I would guess the remarks would be dollar-supportive.

Also, if you could give thoughts/targets on NZD/USD I'd appreciate it. Thanks again!
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Nov 3, 2009 18:45
Hey Ashraf,

Can you share any thoughts on USD/CAD -- I suppose oil is keeping CAD strong. Do you have any ideas on where this is going? Thanks a lot.

Additionally, Peter Grantham wrote an article in today's FT (more or less) saying that GBP will suffer if BOE extends QE AND that if they don't it would spook equity markets which would cause GBP to suffer as well. I thought it was an interesting take. Kind of a win/win to short GBP around the BOE meeting. Would you agree with that perspective? And I presume you are still looking for sub-1.60 before year-end? And perhaps sub 140.00 for GBP/JPY. Thanks again.