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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8935
Forum Topic:

Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)

Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
 
Tony G
Berlin,
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 8, 2011 0:02
Boli, there are so many people predicting this at the moment which makes me take a contrarian view. At present I can't see a big rise in the markets unless oil declines. I'll be the first to admit things can turn very quickly either way. I have a short bias currently on S&P but am careful not to get burnt if the markets melt upwards again.
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 7, 2011 21:09
@Catnip

Here I agree with you regarding oil/WTI. I also expect huge sell-off after dust settles.

@Tony

I still expect ES to top at 1430 in late April/early May. So far the -2 daily sigma channel is again containing the correction in ES as was the case each time since the Aug'10 start of the current rally phase. Until proven otherwise, trend is up. My cycle research says: top is expected end of April/beginning of May. Fib extension targets 1430 level.
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
13 years ago
Mar 7, 2011 19:14
@Catnip - GS are v crafty when it comes to trading on WTI...when they make the bullish calls for 200 as they did yrs ago their energy desk was furiously selling long dated calls...et voila
Tony G
Berlin,
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 7, 2011 18:40
S&P has been going sideways for last couple of weeks. It's really touch and go now whether we go lower from here. My bias is still lower to 1280s this week then a bounce to 1303, followed by a further sell-off.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 7, 2011 17:45
The bullish talk oil 220 reminds me vividly of one of my biggest profits. GS touted 200 and then came Alexej Miller the CEO of Gazprom and topped GS promoting 250. I thought hey he is what GS is waiting for, rich and as clever as a hollow tree trunk. I took a100k short position in wti in a far away contract and bingo: crude fell and fell... and all the oligarchs went belly up. And Godfather Putin had to bail them out. I have a gut feeling the very same is about to happen soon again.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 6, 2011 21:29
Bush was blamed for war for oil . But after war for oil, Iraq produces less crude then before when Saddam led Iraq-Iran war. I think its all about the price of oil, and hence about petrodollar.
Don't think FED is out of ammunition.
Gammahunter
Douglas, Isle of Man
Posts: 82
13 years ago
Mar 6, 2011 19:57
I thinkx israel is behind trouble in ME together with us they want these problem in world
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 6, 2011 16:23
China spent more on its internal police force than on its armed forces in 2010, and plans to do the same this year, as the government deployed security forces around the country to control growing social unrest.

China spent 548.6 billion yuan ($83.5 billion) on internal security last year, 6.7 percent more than budgeted and a 15.6 percent increase over 2009, the Finance Ministry said in a report released yesterday. Last year China spent 533.5 billion yuan on national defense, or 0.3 percent more than budgeted, according to the Finance Ministry.

The surge in public security spending comes as so-called mass incidents, everything from strikes to riots and demonstrations, are on the rise. There were at least 180,000 such incidents in 2010, twice as many as in 2006, Sun Liping, a professor of sociology at Beijings Tsinghua University, said in a Feb. 25 article in the Economic Observer.

I'll stay with my conclusion the target behind the US triggered NWO with all those "riots for democracy" in ME is China. Russia will fall as windfall profit.
Take care. Dr. Ben clever man.

Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
Mar 4, 2011 16:38
Here is the latest Gold/Silver Ratio now 40, Eyeing Mid Teens of 1980.

Silver Must Break 36 in lower left chart below
http://bit.ly/g8xNVQ


Ashraf
Tony G
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 4, 2011 13:54
what a disgrace. All that money the FED has printed to create a miserly 190k jobs.