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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
abundance
Singapore, Singapore
Posts: 27
13 years ago
Apr 10, 2011 14:51
Iceland Rejects Debt Deal To Repay Billions. UK and Netherlands to sue Iceland.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 10, 2011 14:25
Chloe, now yer begin to "get it". Ignore is absolutely right and more pointed than me. We are both suffering your pain :-) We want you to change your belief system and now suddenly you start to make the right noises. Action comes next, put your new belief into practice ! To do this you have to forcefully "de-energise" your old belief because it will resist the changes you need to make to keep you on the pendulum of self destruction. That way your left brain will never become redundant but you need it to become redundant because unbeknown to you at this particulor time it is your own worst enemy.

I been trading 16 yrs. Ashraf is very experienced currency fundie analyst, probably in the very top echelons, possibly #1 in the top league of analysts but if I simply tried to follow everything that Ash advocated I know I would lose money.

I been where you are at now. I almost tore myself apart with frustration listening to a variety of tech and fundamental analysts. Listening to other traders in real time trading rooms. I had a half dozen methods of tech analysis spinning around in circles and as many again self-appointed expert analysts all sending me reports.

There came a point when I flipped and what I did was an over reaction. I unsubscribed from all reports & cut all communications with other traders. I even banned newspapers and TV news in our household. I didn't want to hear anyone elses "opinion". I spent the next 12 months identifying a trading system to suit me personally and putting it into practice with no outside influences bombarding me every minute of every trading day. I watched price action and consolidated my newborn system for dealing with it.

If you can develop a system and TP to specifically suit you then you are no longer reliant upon others and their opinions. It takes years to refine any personal system but you have to make a start somewhere and no one else can do this for you. You need to write down all your TP rules so that your rules become a personal commitment to yourself. The plan will be subject to change and will keep evolving so you need to keep good records of every trade you make so you can sit back at every month-end to review your trades. Identify what worked well and what didnt work so well. If something bad keeps repeating then you can make the necessary change.

The fundamentals make trading interesting but if I had to choose between tech trading and fundmtl trading the former wins hands down. I don't believe a trader can benefit from fundamental analysis in the absence of a highly refined tech system to execute and manage the trades. Techs have to come first for good sound protection if nothing else. You have to treat your trading as a serious business. Beneath all the banter in the forum there is serious discipline required to make consistent profits. gl with your new plan.
chloethebull
Canada
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 10, 2011 2:40
hey ignore thanks for spelling out what daves been trying to say in a kind manner:)..been soo distracted with loss after loss i found it too hard to relax and learn from what u guys post:(..and got to thinkn about what u & davee both say about following price action vs fundiesor looking for when the reversal will start:(..and i finally get it ..with the eur i should have been long eur when it broke through 13750 and actually with the neg tone on usd( after all ive been saying for a long time that fed will do anything everything to keep usd cheap-imagine better against urself:(..) maybe sooner13500...and instead of guessing when it will reverse and willing to loss some money with my stop, i should have been willing to go long with the trend and use a hard stop @ b/e or if the trade starts to shop profits use a trailing stop that way i get to realize some of my profits:)..instead i chose to risk my free equity:(..and fight the trend..it cost me greatly..but now hopefully things will get better ...now that i realized another peice of trading out..i also think that most newbie traders enter the game either with a bull/bear attitude.i doubt newbies come into saying im a both a bull/bear..that ability to change gears is often realized after there initial position goes against them(like me) now i realize it doesnt matter if im a b/b..im neither- im a trader and it shouldnt matter to me whats the usd is doing as long as im following price action..any ways if i ever get stuk on stupid again just tell my daveo..no offence will ever b taken ..thanks guys gl:)
New Pip
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 10, 2011 0:16
Guys/Sir

I know trendlines can be subjective, but looking at the Eur/Usd on a monthly chart I see a trendline resistance coming through to the current price. Am I seeing this right.

With this trendline in place and the Fib level coming in around approx 4440, a Sell would be a good choice. I would prefer it to go lower than 4244 area,

@Sir you thinkin it can then push higher- How high
Sir Ignore
, United States
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 9, 2011 22:23
Chloe:
I trade euro/usd and usd/chf on 1 and 4 hr chartz..
I take positions in usd/mxn.. and aud/jpy
The above I know price movement..

other $ crosses, gold, oil, etc..I don't trade or watch movement diligently....
not my niche....I listen to a few traders comments tho on those.....
I evaluate nfp, hikes and crisis vs r/r for trades...
Ashraf has all that down....

simplify






Sir Ignore
United States
Posts: 3068
13 years ago
Apr 9, 2011 22:11
Chloe:
certainly don't stop posting..my only intention is for YOU not to be overly concerned with fundies and develop a consistent trading tech plan for short term profits...

no need to stop posting news blah...but at this point must decide if you are going to be a poster or a trader...narrow your focus in my opinion...
as for my look ahead on euro...it is subject to change when convinced by price movement...
but for now as I stated...
see asian open
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Apr 9, 2011 19:38
It was the second time after the USDJPY flash crash that unwinding EURUSD shorts met extremly
low liquidity. Thus USDx dropped hard. I think this is serious. The idea some posed that US could default on UST if budget is not approved and debt ceiling not lifted may be not too far fetched. But why would then someone buy Euro? The EFSF/EMF is the same stuff it isn't funded at all. Basically all bailouts were the same as QE under another name, just a kind of security promise, but no capital behind. Only hot air.
lucky
ibadan, Nigeria
Posts: 377
13 years ago
Apr 9, 2011 19:28
hi
chloethebull
halifax, Canada
Posts: 1183
13 years ago
Apr 9, 2011 17:12
srry ignore just thought it could b important to post such news..like in the fed its starting to get fed members speaking out against further qe***..now were hearing eu members saying all not ok with pigs..i;llstop postin then:(..and thanks for the heads up the shorting eur...also if ur shorting eur do u think there could b a short lioved usd rally actross the board or will gold/oil continue to drive the comod currancies further up? thanks and again srry for bombarding the board with fundie posting:(
Sir Ignore
United States
Posts: 3068
13 years ago
Apr 9, 2011 16:18
latr..time to troll