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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:
EUR
Discuss EUR in this thread
But as long as USDX weakness is sustained by a QE2 remaining intact until end of June, the mechanics of the inverse OIL-USD relationship should prevail. We must NOT eliminate the possibility for prolonged USD weakness and a pullback in oil, an occurrence, which could unfold on the heels of prolonged Fed dovishness and receding global growth projections for H2. Early signs of such a rare development could be sighted via steady EURUSD and weakness in oil.
EURUSD is seen remaining underpinned at its Feb 18 trendline support of $1.4250s, which should maintain the slow road for a possible $1.4970s target, especially now that the 1.4360s (76.4% retrcmt) has been cleared away.
Ashraf