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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 46
Forum Topic:

Central Banks (Fed, ECB, BoE, BoJ, SNB, RBA, etc)

Discuss Central Banks (Fed, ECB, BoE, BoJ, SNB, RBA, etc)
 
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Mar 31, 2010 0:50
Said i see 4% yield inevitable and eventually (1 year ot two) will hit 5%

Ashraf
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Mar 24, 2010 20:51
ASHRAF

i wasnnt expecting a treasury sell of that amplitude or any sell off at that level. not having the right for my ew and time lengh do u think we r in for a range trading for a while yet between 3.90 and 3.60 or are we gonna break up this level

any proposal would be that we r heading to 4percent yield after we see the break UP from this congestion.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Mar 24, 2010 4:18
bernanke to finally give that speech on exitstrategy this thursday, which was canceled due to snow. will he EDIT the speech? will there be a Q&A session?
we shall see.

Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Mar 23, 2010 17:17
Everybody, better know and learn who is a voter at this year's FOMC and who is NOT so you know the importance of these statements.

2010 Members of the FOMC
http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomc.htm

Yellen will speak in a few hours. Shes a dove but is NOT a voter this year.

Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Mar 19, 2010 23:06
alperm, it s eems to me all of these economists predicting CNY revaluation as a way to pressure CHina. im more eager to predict +100 bps of chinese rate hikes this year than a 7 or 8% appreciation in its currency. But chinese are unlikely to tighten and revalue significantly.

we might see that currency war i.e. protectionism war between US and China

Ashraf
alperm
istanbul, Turkey
Posts: 2
14 years ago
Mar 18, 2010 16:30
hello,

what do you think about
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-leans-toward-yuan-float-2010-03-17

and USDCNY implications ?
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Mar 18, 2010 16:15
ALERT

Dollar rising across the board amid DEALER TALK of Fed DISCOUNT RATE HIKE TALK is pushing up USD.

RATIONALE: Discount rate now at 0.75%, which is 50 bps above Fed funds, well below the 100-bps spread prevailing before the beginning of the easing cycle (Aug 2007 discount rate cut).
Such reasoning helps address the question on why the Fed opted for an inter-meeting rate hike in February. The agenda of the Fed may have been to raise the discount rate by 25-bps in each of Feb, March and April (or June).

Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Mar 16, 2010 13:33
MY VIDEO PREVIEW OF THE FOMC DECISION
http://bit.ly/aVtRUA

Ashraf
adamcpf
Lisbon, Qatar
Posts: 58
14 years ago
Mar 8, 2010 21:05
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ajbzWvdM2M_U&pos=6

Some reading for you all.

Adam
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Mar 8, 2010 20:39
rim, NOT AT ALL.. not a rate hike in March. Fed hawkishness means withdraws liquidity and NOT raising the benchmark target of interest rates. as i said in most interviews Fed does NOT have to raise rates for the EFFECTIVE fed funds rate (NOT benchmark) to rise. Hawkishness is also in the Fed speaks.

Ashraf