Forum > View Topic
by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
said
France
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 29, 2010 13:06
or cqtnip

go ahve some marco coffee u can make some silber in frankfurt

jsut wandering who provided thefunding for caisse deaprgne in cannon street

battery for maintenance commander. we got time
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Sep 29, 2010 12:03
GOTCHA CATNIP
I LET U WITH UR CALCULUS
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 29, 2010 11:28
I bet on calculus sentiment is for stock traders
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Sep 29, 2010 11:24
its not a matter of sentiment on a dime its just common sense. why using ur feeling when u trade.
its all in how u ask the question. if u use a negative form sure u will have a negative answer in your favor.
i send to a german bank my forecast for next three six months on some segment in the forex and only on technical, and i 'll bet my sweet ass on that . lets the snake take control of your system and u'll have some ash in the system catnip. IT IS A MATTER OF INDEPENDANCY.
sentiment is everything in market and if u control them u r on top
subway90
Korea Sout
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 29, 2010 8:02
catnip...

technicals clearly show where it's headed and how the big players want to play it... and if you can read the charts right( summary of all the money movement)... it's very easy to play it.. fundamentals show the big direction where it's headed.. and if you wanna play that game... you should be ready for several hundred/thousand pips drawdown... are you into that game catnip?
making assumptions like you do could get you in big trouble...
mix the technicals and fundamentals could make you a better trader...

gl catnip
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 29, 2010 7:20
Bloomberg Set 29 2010
Spains top Aaa credit rating, held since 2001, probably will be cut one level by Moodys Investors Service as the euro regions fourth-biggest economy struggles to grow, according to investors managing about $700 billion.

Five out of eight money managers surveyed predicted a one- step reduction to Aa1, with the rest forecasting a two-level cut to Aa2.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 29, 2010 6:50
Sorry.... another stubborn question to those who believe fx is "technical":
big and very big fx traders are banks - interbank trade- and CBs. A significant trade is for global
goods trade if USD is traded.
Speculators play no role they can move 20 pip at most in a liquid pair.
What are the objectives of the big and very big traders?
I think it is to minimize the risk for their respective own currency. In other words a multiple hedge strategy.
This has always been my approach to fx. Consequently I don't give much on sentiment , nothing on wave counts, and very little on technical analysis.
cygnus
New York, United States
Posts: 63
14 years ago
Sep 29, 2010 3:29
Sentiment does not turn on a dime. It is like a large ship that must maneuver slowly as it turns about. Volatility has sharply increased since 2008 as sentiment turns. I think the next push down will eventually involve more wide spread recognition of systemic imbalances (and consequences) caused by massive deleveraging and a simultaneous drop in equity markets. Huge amounts of credit evaporating and more capital preservation will have a deflationary effect in the US. More QE will achieve little to counteract the situation. If this is how things develop, it would not bode well for the eur/usd. I could, however, see more upward movement for the pair (perhaps even as far as to around 1.40). However, this rally may be short lived at this point. Sentiment for the pair in futures is getting to an extreme, which could mean the rally is ripe for reversal soon, in my opinion.
said
France
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 28, 2010 22:56
catnip

rapatriation of funds will work not by forrecasting moves in saf haven currency like swissie but on the fundamental of any economy which is the long end of the curve till an extent.
expectations of central bank, financial institution and retail investor are not the same on the yield curve and that os why the five year auction was well receiced. Does it mean interest are gonna rise end quarter first quarter 2011? that will help drain part of the liquidity in the system. No that just means that the game is still on till an extent. U R a mathematician and u know the math component of the relationaship in dilatation structures. well apply it to the financial market with a lot of multitude particpants expectations and behaviour.

it is not a war process . never fight corruption in declining market is a principle to apply here, ie , dont restraint the flow by constraint or u will paralyzed the system.
one of the solution is to put fed rate at ZERO and that will come because confidence will not last. and it will not last and we will correct is some specific market compartment u might have a liquidity crisis in the eurobund market.
that will implies that pension funds schemes will have to extent the redumption date or writedown part of their pillar.

always bear in mind that ur expectations are not others expectations and this is what the five year auction are well recieved.
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Sep 28, 2010 22:37
nothing to do with a medvac rapatriation, catnip

just common sense to use in confusing time.

too much talks and Rumors