Intraday Market Thoughts

The Nvidia Reversal

by Ashraf Laidi
May 20, 2026 19:47

Nvidia earnings are due today after the closing bell. Research from Bloomberg (see chart below) indicates that gains or losses seen in the S&P500 emerging on the day of the releases, were usually reversed following day. With earnings guidance already elevated and stock up 30% off the March lows, there remains ample room for disappointment. Will the S&P500 bounce be sold the next day? Bloomberg highlights the number "$1 trillion", referring to CEO Jensen Huang's minimum projection for sales of Blackwell and Rubin AI chips in 2027. There's also the possibility of rising input/energy costs. Also, is the S&P500 or Nasdaq100 showing a right shoulder top near 7450 and 29350 respectively? 

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The Nvidia Reversal - Nvda Earnings (Chart 1)

 
 

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