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Posts by "carlco"

193 Posts Total by "carlco":
150 Posts by member
Carlco
(bristol, United Kingdom)
43 Posts by Anonymous "carlco":
Carlco
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 27, 2009 11:10
ashraf -thnx. speculator - china isn't the reason for dollar weakness, risk aversion is, strangely though ashraf i disagree with ALL of you ! the markets are moving up next week so the dollar will weaken GBPUSD 172. i do concede yet another retest of GBPUSD 166 back down to the trend line of 16300 before a rally might be on, but a rally none the less ( i am not in the market as i still believe it's a bear market rally and it could whipsaw either way) but the daily chart clearly shows a cup handle and a wedge at 16650, if the world economies recover at the expense of the USD who cares if the Chinese are crying ? the oil and gold investors have already hedged this eventuality anyway right?
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jun 26, 2009 19:16
ashraf i don't understand why if the USD weakens against the JPY , GBPUSD will weaken aswell ? GBP should strengthen against USD right? unless theres serious JPY strength???
Carlco
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 26, 2009 19:04
rsi weekly -overbought, daily-62, the williams %R is oversold though.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jun 26, 2009 17:51
GBPUSD, ive just noticed another interesting thing on the trend line daily has been touched on 5 times now, each time jumping 400-600 pips, after this last bounce high 3rd June it started to create a cup and handle all the way to the trend line yesterday. target 172. comments appreciated , next week is going to be crazy, i can feel it.
Carlco
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 26, 2009 16:54
Ashraf, Saber rattling it's been going on for months, that would make for some interesting moves in the USD. . How can they advocate fixing their currency price at the same time as touting IMF's SDR as the new default currency. Puzzling why you would lend your hard earned money to the greedy playground bully, then encourage the Head of School to take it for themselves.
moral, if you don't want a bloody nose don't play with the school bully! and then run crying to teacher when you run out of tissue. no one likes a cry baby.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jun 26, 2009 15:33
GBPUSD could finish the week where it started. Thats quite a serious doji star.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jun 26, 2009 15:07
Ashraf, i had to comment on your tweet about reuters-chinese mutterings about the reserve currency. I didn't hear the Chinese crying when exports to the USA were bringing in $trillions that they have now through artificially capping their currency, sounds to me like they should practice what they've preached to the rest of the world for 2 millennium about Ying & Yang. I feel very strongly about this since they first started crying about their falling bond values. Complaining now in the middle of the worst financial crisis in post war history just shows their true colours. I hate this political posturing and it's yet another example of why regime's absolute power corrupts absolutely.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jun 26, 2009 11:25
If we are going to break this rally then hitting the trend line in next few days might be good place to get in currently at 16498ish i might be tempted to pull the trigger on short GBPUSD as near as i dare to 166, or wait till it hits and get in on the pullback?? looking at the weekly charts long term this looks like a coiled spring ready to ping now.
Carlco
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 26, 2009 10:51
speculator- heh! im not going to disagree with that, it's a bear market rally, this 166 is shaping up to be proper resistance. But, look at the daily MA100 & 200 and that trend line. As ive said before we are breaking one way or the other.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jun 26, 2009 9:20
jmx, 172-173 - 175, but i like drawing several fibonacci's from different points, all the way back to an average price in 2005. I still see this as a bear market rally, international stimulus of this magnitude has to have some effect right? so if the figures coming out are from external influences not a free market then you have to look to historic levels. Thats how i do it anyway, my views as always are just that. a view. Comments and thoughts as always appreciated. One thing i do 'KNOW ' is, that there's way too much news and data to follow everything with any depth, thats why these forums are so good, we only have 1 pair of eyes each!