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33 Posts Total by "frog":
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Frog
(Paris, France)
7 Posts by Anonymous "frog":
 
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Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Oct 30, 2010 13:12
In Thread: EUR
I agree with you catnip
Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Aug 5, 2010 12:57
In Thread: Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
I'd be amused to see the S&P going higher until october and then crash til december... Would be fun because nobody expects that. So maybe that is why it will happen.
Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Aug 3, 2010 14:22
In Thread: EUR
Hello guys, here is something you'd better read :
http://bruxelles.blogs.liberation.fr/ING.pdf

That's worth it !
Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Jul 22, 2010 15:03
In Thread: Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
not today... nor tomorrow... if euro jump after the stress test cl might rally as well.
Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Jul 22, 2010 14:58
In Thread: EUR
Even if you are right this market can make you wrong for an extended period of time.

Being bear too early means you'll be broke soon, be bull and you'll be slaughtered !

This is only volatility and false trends. There is no believers out there. All we know for sure is :
they are gonna print money. The actual question is : when ? When those billions injected into the banking system will diffuse into the real economy ? When all this QE will become inflation ?

My gut feeling is that we should see a rise of the euro for 2-3 months and then a sharp drop, say in december, when nobody expect that.
Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Jul 22, 2010 14:46
In Thread: EUR
Expect the market to drop when you expect it the least - the same goes for eurusd
Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Jul 10, 2010 11:55
In Thread: Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
By the way I bought FAS @ 18$ and sold way to early... I could have made a fortune... Something to think about... A good week overall, but nothing to be proud of, when I made 5 instead of 100.

Here I need to change my way of trading, when I cut too quickly my gains and let my losses running.
Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Jul 10, 2010 11:46
In Thread: Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
Hi catnip, like you i guess this rally is more a dead cat bounce than a new bull rally. We're expecting the stress test release by July 23rd and the release of the US GDP by the end of the month (30).

What's your time frame for the next leg down ? Do you still think that the bull trap will take place until september, or could we see a bear attack before ?

The market is a discounting machine, and I think that it has not discounted a republican victory by november yet. So when it will, I guess eurus will drop to parity and equities should go down likewise.

How do you see those events unfold ?
Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Jul 8, 2010 14:17
In Thread: EUR
The bull trap takes place. I see the free fall of eurus in november right before or after the US elections. I'm pretty sure republicans will sweep democrats's ass. And then, the market will discount a new fiscal et monetary policy which will take into account a stronger dollar.

So nothing to do until then IMO. Expect also the market to resume its downtrend by then.
Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Jul 8, 2010 14:10
In Thread: EUR
Trichet is hilarious today.. Did he smoke something ?
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